NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	4.7 [882]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +25.1%
Sacramento Kings	98		Comeback	13.6 [75]		LVP	Larry Hughes (CLE): -11.7%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25	0.13	0.09	-0.04	26	62%	0.31	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Damon Jones	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	10	70%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.09	-0.04	8	33%	0.10	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.10	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.02	13	72%	0.12	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.01	0.01	16	30%	-0.09	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.03	-0.00	11	71%	0.20	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.07	12	68%	0.07	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	18	65%	0.13	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	0.02	3	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	33%	-0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	14	30%	-0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.6	26.3	15.7	27.3	2.7	39.3	135.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +17.3%

CLE +6.0%

CLE +12.0%

CLE +12.3%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	SAC	NBA	CLE	SAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.5	15.4	118.7	108.9	104.5
season	16.0	14.7		103.2	104.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	18.7	15.5	15.3	16.3
SAC	15.6	20.2	16.5	11.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	74	73	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-5	20	15.7	18.9	-3.14	15.8	14.3	1.47
Damon Jones	38	38	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.13	18	-8	26	16.8	16.0	0.79	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Larry Hughes	80	80	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-8	26	16.0	18.6	-2.62	15.7	13.7	2.01
Anderson Varejao	42	43	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.11	18	-8	26	14.8	17.7	-2.91	15.4	15.5	-0.09
LeBron James	84	81	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-3	16	16.0	20.9	-4.90	15.6	14.7	0.91
Eric Snow	50	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	17	-24	16.3	16.3	0.02	14.4	16.9	-2.49
David Wesley	12	14	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.08	-1	11	-12	17.0	16.2	0.77	17.0	15.2	1.79
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	54	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.00	-5	15	-20	17.9	14.0	3.85	15.5	15.5	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	11	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	18	-26	18.6	16.0	2.62	13.7	15.7	-2.01
Daniel Gibson	11	10	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.08	-8	18	-26	18.6	16.0	2.62	13.7	15.7	-2.01

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Taylor	31	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.13	8	-18	26	15.0	15.7	-0.70	16.3	16.3	-0.03
Quincy Douby	7	8	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-12	14	19.4	15.2	4.27	22.9	15.7	7.18
Ronnie Price	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-10	10	0.0	15.5	-15.49	22.0	16.3	5.73
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	35	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	-7	4	16.4	14.9	1.54	16.3	16.4	-0.12
Kevin Martin	77	76	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-12	14	15.1	18.1	-3.02	15.7	19.3	-3.60
Mike Bibby	78	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-3	-4	14.7	20.6	-5.88	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Metta World Peace	75	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.16	-10	0	-10	15.5	15.2	0.35	15.5	21.1	-5.69
Brad Miller	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.11	-14	4	-18	15.6	15.2	0.31	16.7	15.1	1.58
Kenny Thomas	30	30	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	2	-14	17.9	14.3	3.67	16.9	16.0	0.85
John Salmons	47	48	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	6	-22	14.8	16.3	-1.51	16.8	15.8	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.63,0.52,0.3,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 118, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
PHX 103, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
PHX 106, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%