NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	103		Excitement	4.5 [880]		MVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): +14.9%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	21.4 [36]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (CHH): -11.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kidd	0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	-0.06	0.12	-0.09	22	56%	0.24	6	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	20	56%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Tony Delk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.04	0.02	13	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Mario Elie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	14	36%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	14	57%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	14	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.05	13	69%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	10	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.17	-0.01	-0.07	14	33%	-0.04	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.6	24.5	15.0	27.0	1.6	26.4	122.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +21.3%

CHH -2.3%

PHX +17.6%

PHX +13.1%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHH	NBA	PHX	CHH	NBA
this game	15.4	14.6	15.5	107.3	97.9	100.9
season	14.9	15.8		97.7	99.7
opponent	15.6	15.4		97.0	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.2	19.2	10.8	15.8	15.4
CHH	12.6	14.4	18.0	13.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Delk	42	43	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-3	15	15.9	15.0	0.89	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Shawn Marion	79	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-2	13	14.6	18.9	-4.36	14.8	13.9	0.86
Jason Kidd	84	83	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	3	3	14.4	22.3	-7.98	14.7	14.5	0.21
Jake Tsakalidis	42	42	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	2	5	14.8	15.8	-0.93	14.9	14.5	0.38
Chris Dudley	37	37	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	-1	11	15.6	15.2	0.44	15.6	14.1	1.54
Clifford Robinson	47	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-1	11	14.7	16.0	-1.32	16.0	13.2	2.79
Tom Gugliotta	56	55	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	14	-19	15.7	14.9	0.74	13.4	16.3	-2.87
Mario Elie	51	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	5	-1	14.8	16.0	-1.26	15.2	14.1	1.10
Rodney Rogers	19	20	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.03	-5	14	-19	19.8	14.3	5.53	12.2	15.3	-3.09
Vinny Del Negro	23	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.03	-5	14	-19	19.5	14.0	5.48	14.2	14.8	-0.64

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	73	72	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.17	5	-14	19	14.1	16.4	-2.35	15.6	14.7	0.92
Jamaal Magloire	35	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	12.4	15.9	-3.49	17.7	13.9	3.83
Eldridge Recasner	22	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-2	-5	14.5	14.7	-0.13	16.4	15.1	1.32
Baron Davis	62	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	14.1	15.6	-1.50	16.7	12.6	4.05
P.J. Brown	62	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-3	-3	15.0	13.9	1.09	14.7	16.6	-1.86
Elden Campbell	56	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	16.0	12.7	3.34	13.9	17.3	-3.43
Derrick Coleman	39	38	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-2	-5	14.0	15.1	-1.04	16.3	14.8	1.50
Jamal Mashburn	74	74	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	5	-19	15.5	11.7	3.85	13.7	21.0	-7.38
Eddie Robinson	57	57	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.26	-14	5	-19	14.8	14.4	0.48	15.4	15.3	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 108, SAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.79,0.63,0.52,0.3,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0,0	94.7%
CHH 118, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAL 119, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.88,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%