NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	119		Excitement	5.2 [741]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +24.2%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	11.6 [136]		LVP	George McCloud (PHX): -9.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.10	-0.04	12	74%	0.24	2	-0.00	10	80%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.09	-0.04	13	46%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	15	55%	0.03	1	-0.04	8	75%	-0.02
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Horry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	55%	-0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Rick Fox	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.05	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	16	59%	0.00	3	-0.06	12	50%	-0.08

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.04	-0.03	10	62%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.04	0.07	13	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	13	47%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Brooks Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	5	45%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Mark Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marko Milic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	15	55%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	11	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.5	27.3	17.0	28.2	2.4	40.6	145.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +32.2%

PHX -1.1%

LAL +6.4%

LAL +7.1%

LAL +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.6	122.7	113.5	102.5
season	14.8	15.0		110.0	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.6		100.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.8	17.4	12.9	13.0	14.7
PHX	13.0	16.9	17.8	13.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	73	70	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.17	22	-12	34	13.9	17.0	-3.15	14.8	16.3	-1.55
Nick Van Exel	79	78	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.28	9	1	8	14.5	15.4	-0.88	15.2	15.3	-0.12
Corie Blount	24	23	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.33	5	5	0	13.9	14.9	-1.00	15.1	15.2	-0.12
Elden Campbell	37	35	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.00	16	-6	22	15.9	13.9	2.06	16.7	14.3	2.37
Eddie Jones	92	91	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	3	4	14.6	16.8	-2.25	15.0	19.0	-4.03
Shaquille O'Neal	64	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-2	14	15.7	12.6	3.17	16.0	13.4	2.69
Derek Fisher	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	9	-8	15.4	14.5	0.88	15.3	15.2	0.12
Rick Fox	40	42	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.18	-15	25	-40	14.4	14.8	-0.42	14.4	15.8	-1.46
Robert Horry	58	58	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.11	-7	17	-24	14.3	15.2	-0.89	14.8	15.8	-1.06

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Bryant	23	24	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.14	14	-24	38	13.2	15.8	-2.58	18.3	13.5	4.87
Marko Milic	10	9	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.29	10	-20	30	7.8	16.0	-8.23	8.7	15.3	-6.62
Brooks Thompson	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	7.6	16.1	-8.46	5.9	15.7	-9.78
Cedric Ceballos	16	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-17	24	10.4	16.1	-5.76	11.0	15.3	-4.29
George McCloud	36	36	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.08	-4	-6	2	16.0	14.7	1.27	15.8	14.0	1.81
Clifford Robinson	55	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-7	4	15.8	14.4	1.42	16.8	11.6	5.14
Jason Kidd	76	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-1	-8	15.8	12.8	2.94	16.0	9.2	6.85
Rex Chapman	69	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.16	-13	3	-16	16.0	13.2	2.77	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Hot Rod Williams	32	31	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.08	-15	5	-20	17.2	14.2	2.97	12.2	15.8	-3.64
Antonio McDyess	52	53	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	2	-14	17.3	12.7	4.61	15.1	14.2	0.85
Danny Manning	50	51	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	0	-10	14.3	16.2	-1.87	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Steve Nash	51	52	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.23	-19	9	-28	14.8	15.6	-0.80	13.4	16.2	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.92,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.88,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.64,0.46,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0	94.3%
PHX 103, CHH 94	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.71,0.63,0.6,0.42,0.15,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.9%
CHH 118, LAC 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.25,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%