NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	90		Excitement	5.8 [700]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +18.4%
New Jersey Nets	96		Comeback	1.6 [865]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (MIL): -12.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Redd	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.11	0.02	0.01	24	58%	0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Mo Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marcus Fizer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike James	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	62%	0.04	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	57%	0.03	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	9	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.08	-0.01	24	63%	0.27	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	13	61%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.4	26.6	16.0	25.4	2.4	30.5	125.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +39.3%

MIL -3.3%

MIL -7.3%

NJN +22.2%

MIL -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	17.5	14.9	15.5	101.1	107.9	104.0
season	16.0	16.0		104.4	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.0		101.6	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.8	17.0	18.8	16.5	17.5
NJN	12.8	15.0	15.5	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	16.6	17.7	-1.13	14.9	14.9	0.09
Mo Williams	48	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-3	0	17.7	17.2	0.58	13.4	16.5	-3.07
Marcus Fizer	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-1	-4	17.5	17.5	0.05	14.8	14.9	-0.03
Joe Smith	61	60	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-5	4	17.5	17.5	-0.02	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Erick Strickland	14	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-4	2	17.4	17.5	-0.06	17.0	14.5	2.49
Dan Gadzuric	56	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-7	8	18.1	16.4	1.78	15.1	14.5	0.50
Desmond Mason	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	17.4	17.8	-0.43	15.3	11.9	3.42
Michael Redd	71	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	-2	-2	17.4	17.8	-0.44	14.1	18.1	-3.99
Mike James	44	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-2	-2	16.7	18.2	-1.49	15.6	14.1	1.55
Keith Van Horn	35	34	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	0	-6	17.9	17.2	0.62	15.9	14.3	1.63

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	83	85	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	14.6	18.7	-4.06	17.5	17.7	-0.28
Vince Carter	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-1	8	14.7	16.0	-1.25	17.7	15.3	2.39
Jason Collins	79	79	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	3	0	14.3	19.3	-4.98	17.4	18.1	-0.69
Rodney Buford	73	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	14.3	17.6	-3.27	17.6	17.1	0.50
Brian Scalabrine	20	21	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.15	4	2	2	16.9	14.3	2.67	17.0	17.6	-0.69
Nenad Krstic	58	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	7	-8	16.1	12.7	3.37	18.5	15.7	2.80
Jabari Smith	27	26	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.01	6	0	6	14.6	15.0	-0.46	15.8	18.2	-2.31
Travis Best	24	22	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.18	-2	8	-10	14.7	14.9	-0.23	15.9	18.0	-2.09
Jacque Vaughn	1	1	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	6	-6	38.0	14.6	23.39	30.0	17.3	12.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,1	94.2%
GSW 79, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 91, MIL 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.85,1	93.9%