NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	7.0 [405]		MVP	Joe Smith (MIL): +6.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	1.5 [842]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -23.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	70%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
John Salmons	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	4	100%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	7	47%	-0.04	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.05	-0.01	7	41%	-0.08	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	7	29%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.23	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.22,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	30	43%	-0.08	6	-0.16	5	40%	-0.06

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.01	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	72%	0.13	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	22	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	67%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	50%	0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	0.00	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Santiago	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	50%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	514.7	2.3	28.2	15.6	24.4	2.4	37.1	624.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.6%

MIL +14.9%

PHI -0.1%

PHI -7.7%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.7	93.8	100.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.3		96.7	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.3	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.4	14.7	14.0	14.9	14.7
MIL	15.9	13.6	16.7	15.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Jackson	60	58	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-14	24	14.6	14.9	-0.26	16.1	14.0	2.09
John Salmons	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-1	-2	14.1	15.0	-0.81	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Eric Snow	69	68	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-12	20	14.8	14.5	0.38	14.8	16.4	-1.58
Derrick Coleman	47	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	16.2	13.3	2.87	15.3	15.2	0.14
Greg Buckner	14	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	3	-10	15.6	14.6	1.06	15.3	15.3	0.01
Kenny Thomas	80	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-6	8	14.4	16.5	-2.11	15.8	13.1	2.67
Samuel Dalembert	37	36	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.02	-13	9	-22	14.8	14.7	0.17	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Allen Iverson	87	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	14.5	16.8	-2.31	15.7	11.7	3.99
Aaron McKie	64	61	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	9	-22	14.4	15.4	-1.00	14.4	16.9	-2.46

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	47	48	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.38	9	-5	14	14.1	16.5	-2.39	14.2	15.3	-1.08
Michael Redd	88	90	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.36	5	-1	6	15.1	17.0	-1.86	14.8	13.6	1.25
Joe Smith	74	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	3	-2	15.7	13.7	2.06	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Dan Gadzuric	48	48	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.22	4	0	4	14.6	16.0	-1.40	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Damon Jones	45	45	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	-3	10	15.4	15.1	0.32	14.3	15.1	-0.74
Toni Kukoc	38	40	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	-1	6	14.5	15.8	-1.29	15.0	14.5	0.54
T.J. Ford	50	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	7	-10	15.1	15.4	-0.32	15.1	14.3	0.74
Tim Thomas	56	58	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.11	-3	7	-10	16.7	13.3	3.38	15.2	14.1	1.10
Daniel Santiago	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	16.0	15.0	1.00	15.6	14.4	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	93.9%
CHI 88, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.0%
DET 75, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.0%