NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	88		Excitement	6.1 [576]		MVP	Bryce Drew (CHI): +14.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	99		Comeback	1.6 [1009]		LVP	Ron Mercer (CHI): -30.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryce Drew	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.00	0.00	17	71%	0.19	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Benjamin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	2	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brad Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid El-Amin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Ruffin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	7	19%	-0.10	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.17	-0.06	-0.00	19	49%	-0.06	7	-0.17	11	73%	-0.02
Ron Mercer	-0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	21	29%	-0.17	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.03	-0.02	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.11	-0.04	0.05	25	69%	0.15	5	-0.13	12	92%	0.04
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pepe Sanchez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	5	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	10	50%	-0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.4	31.3	15.5	28.4	2.5	26.5	128.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +32.3%

PHI +9.5%

CHI -13.8%

PHI +17.1%

PHI +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	16.6	15.1	15.5	97.8	107.6	100.9
season	16.4	15.7		95.2	101.4
opponent	15.5	15.1		97.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	17.2	14.5	18.2	16.6
PHI	15.4	12.8	15.5	16.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Ruffin	71	73	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-19	27	15.4	20.9	-5.54	15.4	13.9	1.44
Jamal Crawford	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-13	15	11.2	16.8	-5.58	13.5	15.2	-1.66
Fred Hoiberg	75	76	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-10	9	16.3	17.7	-1.39	15.2	14.6	0.63
Brad Miller	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-4	-3	17.4	16.5	0.92	11.9	15.4	-3.52
Corey Benjamin	12	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-4	-3	16.1	16.7	-0.57	11.3	15.6	-4.32
Elton Brand	76	78	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-11	11	17.0	14.2	2.80	15.4	13.6	1.79
Ron Mercer	72	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	16.9	15.3	1.63	15.1	14.8	0.32
Bryce Drew	73	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	16.1	18.6	-2.55	15.7	12.5	3.22
Khalid El-Amin	34	36	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.10	-14	3	-17	18.2	15.6	2.66	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Marcus Fizer	26	25	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.03	-23	12	-35	18.3	15.9	2.38	14.4	15.3	-0.94

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	45	44	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.14	15	-4	19	14.3	15.8	-1.52	17.2	16.0	1.23
Allen Iverson	88	86	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	-2	15	15.2	13.5	1.66	16.8	11.2	5.58
Toni Kukoc	29	27	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	0	11	14.9	15.2	-0.23	14.5	17.5	-2.94
Aaron McKie	73	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	2	7	15.1	15.2	-0.16	16.9	15.3	1.63
Tyrone Hill	43	43	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.11	5	6	-1	15.3	14.9	0.45	16.0	17.1	-1.02
George Lynch	67	67	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	7	-3	15.7	13.4	2.26	17.3	14.6	2.70
Theo Ratliff	73	71	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	6	-1	15.4	13.8	1.57	16.8	15.6	1.20
Rodney Buford	24	22	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	11	-11	14.3	15.4	-1.02	15.8	16.8	-1.01
Pepe Sanchez	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	13.5	15.2	-1.66	11.2	16.8	-5.58
Nazr Mohammed	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	10.3	15.2	-4.91	10.7	16.8	-6.11
Jumaine Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	13	-15	10.3	15.2	-4.91	10.7	16.8	-6.11
Todd MacCulloch	8	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.04	-1	12	-13	16.7	14.9	1.82	18.5	16.4	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 72, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
BOS 79, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%
LAC 89, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.2%