NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	5.6 [423]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +22.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	108		Comeback	1.5 [733]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -20.5%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.08	-0.03	11	81%	0.25	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Michael Olowokandi	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	63%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Charles Smith	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	10	60%	0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Nesby	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	10	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	10	18%	-0.12	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.04	0.05	8	94%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	19	68%	0.29	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.02	0.09	-0.04	7	68%	0.19	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	86%	0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Barry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	19	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.05
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	0.07	13	46%	-0.08	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	45.0	2.6	24.0	14.8	28.1	1.6	31.0	147.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +32.4%

SEA +22.0%

LAC -4.9%

SEA +4.6%

LAC -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SEA	NBA	LAC	SEA	NBA
this game	17.5	14.1	15.8	95.7	121.3	99.6
season	16.7	15.4		97.5	102.4
opponent	15.9	14.7		103.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.9	14.6	20.5	17.4	17.5
SEA	13.2	14.8	14.4	13.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Olowokandi	63	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.12	-6	-13	7	17.6	17.2	0.43	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Tyrone Nesby	32	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	-14	9	20.2	16.1	4.15	13.1	14.5	-1.47
Maurice Taylor	52	50	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-10	1	17.4	17.6	-0.16	15.3	12.5	2.79
Charles Smith	49	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.22	-14	-5	-9	18.4	16.5	1.84	13.4	14.8	-1.33
Lamond Murray	49	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.12	-4	-15	11	15.8	19.3	-3.50	14.5	13.5	1.01
Rodney Rogers	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-13	7	16.4	18.2	-1.80	14.4	13.8	0.61
Pooh Richardson	18	17	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	-10	1	15.8	17.9	-2.13	13.0	14.3	-1.33
Darrick Martin	75	72	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-9	-1	17.9	15.8	2.13	14.3	13.0	1.33
Eric Piatkowski	56	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-4	-11	16.6	18.8	-2.19	14.7	13.0	1.70
Lorenzen Wright	35	33	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.04	-17	-2	-15	18.5	16.9	1.59	13.2	14.6	-1.47

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	78	83	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	3	13	13.8	15.8	-1.98	17.9	14.0	3.92
Detlef Schrempf	62	64	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	0	19	14.2	13.9	0.33	17.0	18.6	-1.54
Vin Baker	76	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	0	19	14.4	12.2	2.16	18.3	13.3	5.04
Olden Polynice	52	57	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	14	-9	13.6	14.8	-1.25	18.6	15.7	2.89
Hersey Hawkins	62	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	6	7	14.3	13.6	0.64	17.6	17.1	0.53
Dale Ellis	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	4	11	14.3	13.8	0.51	17.8	16.9	0.90
Aaron Williams	31	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	15	-11	14.0	14.1	-0.07	15.6	18.4	-2.82
Vladimir Stepania	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	14.0	14.1	-0.08	12.0	17.7	-5.68
Rashard Lewis	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	14.0	14.1	-0.08	12.0	17.7	-5.68
Drew Barry	22	22	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.08	2	17	-15	13.9	14.1	-0.29	14.3	18.5	-4.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.5%
MIN 102, CHA 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
TOR 113, PHX 133	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%