NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	113		Excitement	5.9 [645]		MVP	Shaquille O'Neal (PHX): +31.5%
Phoenix Suns	133		Comeback	1.7 [762]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -8.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	13	66%	0.17	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	13	54%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	21	56%	0.11	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	14	56%	0.04	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	6	62%	0.04	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.31	0.04	0.04	25	78%	0.35	3	-0.04	8	62%	-0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.15	0.05	11	83%	0.29	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	9	70%	0.18	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	15	55%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Alando Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	14	35%	-0.06	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.5	31.2	14.8	25.2	2.3	34.3	140.5
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +20.9%

PHX +11.9%

TOR -9.5%

PHX +24.9%

PHX +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	13.7	14.6	15.5	111.9	129.1	106.4
season	15.1	14.1		105.0	112.1
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.0	12.8	15.0	14.0	13.7
PHX	15.2	12.9	13.8	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Banks	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-18	16	11.1	13.9	-2.80	15.7	14.4	1.26
Patrick O'Bryant	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-16	12	10.7	14.0	-3.29	13.0	14.7	-1.71
Roko Leni Ukic	31	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-19	18	12.5	14.2	-1.70	14.7	14.5	0.20
Jason Kapono	50	50	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-16	12	13.7	13.7	-0.01	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Jake Voskuhl	15	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-13	6	14.3	13.6	0.71	15.0	14.5	0.51
Anthony Parker	89	92	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-7	-6	13.6	14.2	-0.57	14.5	15.3	-0.79
Andrea Bargnani	72	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	-9	-2	13.3	14.6	-1.29	14.9	13.6	1.27
Chris Bosh	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-8	-4	14.0	13.0	0.94	15.1	13.4	1.76
Jose Calderon	74	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.15	-23	3	-26	14.5	11.3	3.18	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Shawn Marion	87	88	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.06	-23	3	-26	14.0	11.6	2.43	14.5	14.9	-0.43

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	69	67	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.06	22	-2	24	14.9	13.8	1.10	13.5	13.9	-0.37
Leandro Barbosa	75	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	6	8	14.7	14.1	0.68	13.3	14.6	-1.31
Shaquille O'Neal	79	76	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.30	22	-2	24	15.0	13.1	1.88	13.3	14.6	-1.30
Lou Amundson	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.05	10	10	0	14.4	14.7	-0.35	14.6	12.6	2.08
Jason Richardson	77	75	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.00	8	12	-4	14.7	14.1	0.65	13.6	13.9	-0.35
Grant Hill	78	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.09	11	9	2	14.1	16.0	-1.95	13.8	13.2	0.62
Jared Dudley	37	37	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	14	-8	13.5	15.2	-1.72	14.1	13.4	0.62
Goran Dragic	28	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	14	-8	14.1	14.7	-0.68	14.6	13.3	1.31
Robin Lopez	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	17.5	14.4	3.06	10.5	13.8	-3.29
Alando Tucker	17	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	19	-18	15.4	14.4	1.02	11.6	14.1	-2.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, GSW 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%
NYK 109, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%
CHI 89, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%