NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	89		Excitement	5.8 [617]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (TOR): +19.1%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.6 [908]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -23.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Fizer	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.04	13	55%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Eddie Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	5	69%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	12	61%	0.07	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.01	0.05	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	7	25%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Rose	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.21	-0.08	-0.05	19	33%	-0.16	4	-0.08	7	100%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.07	-0.05	15	70%	0.22	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	4	73%	0.11	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.03
Jelani McCoy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	16	56%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	20	48%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	10	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Michael Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.5	30.6	16.4	26.3	2.4	35.4	136.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +16.0%

TOR +1.2%

TOR +23.1%

TOR +5.1%

TOR +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	15.1	15.5	92.7	106.2	101.6
season	15.0	16.2		98.3	98.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		105.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.9	14.5	15.0	14.4	14.7
TOR	14.5	14.8	15.7	15.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Robinson	25	26	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-14	14	14.4	14.8	-0.36	16.4	14.7	1.71
Eddy Curry	60	62	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-8	2	15.3	13.8	1.49	15.3	14.9	0.39
Jalen Rose	79	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-7	0	14.5	15.8	-1.36	15.0	15.7	-0.75
Jay Williams	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	14.7	14.8	-0.19	14.8	16.1	-1.35
Jamal Crawford	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-8	2	14.8	14.7	0.19	16.1	14.8	1.35
Fred Hoiberg	23	24	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-7	0	13.7	15.0	-1.39	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Corie Blount	25	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-8	2	15.3	14.5	0.83	15.5	15.0	0.52
Marcus Fizer	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-8	2	13.5	15.4	-1.87	14.7	15.3	-0.61
Donyell Marshall	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-4	-6	15.2	13.5	1.76	15.5	14.3	1.22
Trenton Hassell	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.01	-14	0	-14	14.8	14.4	0.36	14.7	16.4	-1.71

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alvin Williams	75	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-4	22	15.2	14.8	0.41	15.1	13.4	1.72
Morris Peterson	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	8	-2	15.2	14.9	0.34	14.7	14.8	-0.15
Voshon Lenard	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	3	8	15.4	14.8	0.61	14.7	14.8	-0.11
Jelani McCoy	40	41	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	8	-2	15.3	15.0	0.37	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Vince Carter	65	66	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	5	4	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.5	12.9	2.58
Jerome Williams	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.02	7	7	0	15.4	14.9	0.54	15.7	14.0	1.70
Michael Bradley	38	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	12	-10	14.9	15.3	-0.44	13.6	15.4	-1.78
Antonio Davis	32	31	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.06	8	6	2	15.8	14.8	1.06	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Greg Foster	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	9	-4	14.4	15.8	-1.41	14.8	14.7	0.11
Chris Jefferies	11	11	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	12	-10	11.6	15.6	-3.95	10.4	15.3	-4.91
Jermaine Jackson	22	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	18	-22	14.8	15.2	-0.41	13.4	15.1	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, ATL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DEN 88, GSW 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.95,1	94.2%
WAS 89, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.67,0.85,0.92,0.88,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%