NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	6.2 [542]		MVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): +23.6%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	1.8 [1033]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -17.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.23	0.06	0.07	25	71%	0.30	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.04	9	63%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Malik Rose	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	15	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Randolph Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	0.00	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Renaldo Balkman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Fred Jones	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.04	0.03	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18	-0.10	-0.04	0.03	11	31%	-0.11	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.15	0.06	-0.02	16	69%	0.24	1	-0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	10	59%	0.13	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	15	58%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mario West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	0.01	14	57%	0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	21	50%	0.03	5	-0.13	8	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	27.9	15.0	25.2	2.6	40.2	136.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +27.9%

ATL +13.1%

ATL +9.4%

NYK -4.9%

ATL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	15.5	15.4	107.9	114.0	105.7
season	15.7	15.4		103.1	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.2		107.2	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	11.9	14.0	14.0	12.9	13.2
ATL	15.3	14.8	15.4	16.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Rose	19	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.8	12.8	1.97	15.6	15.5	0.16
Randolph Morris	17	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.03	-1	-4	3	12.8	13.3	-0.44	16.0	15.4	0.62
Jared Jeffries	55	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	13.0	13.4	-0.33	15.0	16.1	-1.07
Quentin Richardson	65	68	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.33	5	-10	15	12.4	14.6	-2.12	14.9	16.7	-1.87
Jamal Crawford	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-7	9	12.3	16.5	-4.18	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Fred Jones	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-6	7	12.9	13.5	-0.55	15.7	15.1	0.62
Renaldo Balkman	36	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	5	-15	14.6	12.4	2.12	16.7	14.9	1.87
Wilson Chandler	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.34	-2	-3	1	13.2	13.2	-0.06	15.1	16.2	-1.06
David Lee	72	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.23	-6	1	-7	14.0	11.1	2.92	16.2	13.8	2.42
Nate Robinson	39	37	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.12	-12	7	-19	13.5	13.0	0.45	15.2	15.7	-0.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	85	87	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-6	17	14.9	18.7	-3.75	13.7	10.0	3.70
Joe Johnson	84	87	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-11	27	15.7	14.4	1.24	13.3	12.7	0.55
Mike Bibby	79	80	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-6	17	15.7	14.7	0.97	13.9	10.6	3.30
Al Horford	84	81	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.20	3	2	1	15.0	17.8	-2.78	13.0	13.8	-0.76
Josh Smith	61	64	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	2	1	15.4	15.6	-0.18	13.7	12.2	1.53
Josh Childress	56	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	13	-21	17.2	13.3	3.90	12.3	14.3	-2.01
Zaza Pachulia	24	26	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	2	1	16.1	15.3	0.85	13.2	13.2	-0.05
Mario West	6	5	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	13	-21	9.0	15.9	-6.89	7.0	13.5	-6.51
Acie Law	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.18	-6	11	-17	14.7	15.7	-0.97	10.8	13.8	-2.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1	94.6%
CHI 89, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
DET 79, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%