NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	6.4 [531]		MVP	Draymond Green (GSW): +16.9%
Golden State Warriors	102		Comeback	2.4 [912]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (GSW): -11.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	9	47%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
John Henson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	13	53%	0.07	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.02	-0.04	0.06	13	48%	-0.05	1	-0.04	1	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	0.02	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.07	0.03	14	68%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.12
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.05	0.03	10	73%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.01	5	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.02	-0.04	16	47%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	87%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.09	5	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	31.8	14.8	28.4	2.6	30.3	134.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +63.9%

MIL -21.6%

MIL -16.2%

GSW +20.0%

GSW +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	GSW	NBA	MIL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	14.3	15.1	98.9	107.4	104.2
season	14.5	13.6		100.5	109.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.7	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	16.3	16.5	15.0	16.8	16.1
GSW	15.0	13.5	13.8	15.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	52	52	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-10	11	15.2	17.3	-2.07	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Michael Carter-Williams	61	62	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-13	17	15.4	17.5	-2.08	14.2	14.7	-0.54
John Henson	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-5	1	17.4	15.9	1.49	13.8	14.5	-0.64
Khris Middleton	58	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	15.8	16.6	-0.81	14.8	13.6	1.14
Jared Dudley	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-4	-1	16.7	15.3	1.40	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Jerryd Bayless	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.3	16.0	0.31	14.3	14.4	-0.10
Ersan Ilyasova	67	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	0	-9	16.7	14.8	1.91	14.5	14.0	0.43
Tyler Ennis	28	28	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	6	-21	18.3	15.2	3.06	14.1	14.4	-0.34
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	2	-13	15.6	19.3	-3.70	14.7	12.3	2.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	52	51	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.27	14	-5	19	14.4	14.3	0.04	17.3	14.8	2.48
Draymond Green	81	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-2	13	14.6	13.1	1.41	15.7	18.5	-2.85
Andre Iguodala	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.37	4	5	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.25	17.0	14.9	2.04
Stephen Curry	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	3	3	14.7	13.1	1.58	15.5	18.1	-2.55
Harrison Barnes	63	63	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-1	11	13.8	15.4	-1.60	16.7	14.9	1.84
Klay Thompson	75	73	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	4	1	14.0	15.8	-1.84	15.4	18.6	-3.13
Festus Ezeli	9	10	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	1	7	14.2	14.4	-0.14	17.8	15.9	1.86
David Lee	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	12	-15	15.1	14.2	0.85	17.8	15.9	1.89
Justin Holiday	10	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	16	-23	16.2	14.1	2.07	17.5	16.0	1.49
Andrew Bogut	42	42	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	12	-15	14.3	14.4	-0.11	14.6	17.4	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, PHX 133	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.73,0.5,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
ORL 98, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
MEM 99, DEN 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.59,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.49,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.98,1	92.8%