NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	6.1 [591]		MVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): +4.7%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	2.1 [592]		LVP	Grant Hill (ORL): -21.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Hunter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	12	59%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Pat Garrity	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	11	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	14	58%	0.04	3	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Bo Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.21,-0.18,-0.21,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	0.01	18	40%	-0.08	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Grant Hill	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.16	-0.05	0.01	16	36%	-0.16	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.04

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	65%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.08	0.01	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.05
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	5	75%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	61%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	23	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	12	75%	0.01
John Amaechi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	60%	0.01	6	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	0.04	13	38%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	2.5	32.2	14.8	22.4	2.3	33.6	140.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.0%

UTA +3.0%

UTA +10.9%

ORL -6.2%

ORL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	UTA	NBA	ORL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	15.6	101.0	106.1	102.3
season	14.6	16.1		104.6	102.9
opponent	15.1	15.8		101.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.4	16.3	15.7	12.1	14.3
UTA	13.8	16.5	15.6	15.0	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bo Outlaw	25	24	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.25	12	-19	31	12.9	14.7	-1.86	17.3	14.4	2.86
Tracy McGrady	68	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-4	1	15.4	11.7	3.66	14.9	15.7	-0.88
Pat Garrity	49	53	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-16	25	13.9	14.6	-0.64	15.4	14.8	0.51
Darrell Armstrong	58	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-9	11	13.4	15.6	-2.18	15.4	14.8	0.58
Steven Hunter	34	35	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-1	-5	15.0	13.9	1.14	15.4	15.0	0.43
Troy Hudson	20	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	12.6	14.7	-2.09	13.8	15.5	-1.73
Horace Grant	57	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	5	-17	15.0	13.2	1.80	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Patrick Ewing	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-2	-3	14.9	13.9	0.94	15.3	15.0	0.21
Mike Miller	54	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.26	-11	4	-15	13.8	14.8	-1.04	15.1	15.2	-0.11
Grant Hill	85	88	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.17	-16	9	-25	14.2	14.6	-0.37	14.9	17.1	-2.22

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	53	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	14.6	15.7	-1.03	14.1	14.5	-0.39
Bryon Russell	72	71	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.30	9	-2	11	14.5	16.9	-2.38	14.5	13.7	0.83
Greg Ostertag	70	69	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-5	17	15.9	13.2	2.66	14.8	12.9	1.97
John Crotty	39	38	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.10	13	-6	19	13.9	15.9	-2.02	16.1	13.1	2.99
Karl Malone	81	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	0	7	14.6	17.3	-2.64	13.9	16.1	-2.26
John Amaechi	27	26	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-1	9	15.0	15.2	-0.17	15.2	13.9	1.33
John Stockton	60	59	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.19	-6	13	-19	15.9	13.9	2.02	13.1	16.1	-2.99
Quincy Lewis	38	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	9	-11	14.5	15.5	-0.97	13.3	14.8	-1.51
John Starks	5	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.02	-6	13	-19	21.0	14.8	6.19	19.6	14.0	5.63
Donyell Marshall	50	49	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.14	-11	18	-29	16.2	14.0	2.14	13.6	14.9	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.81,0.92,0.98,1,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 89, SEA 108	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.5%
ATL 76, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.7,0.62,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 102, CHA 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.86,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	94.0%