NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	79		Excitement	5.7 [714]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +10.6%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	2.0 [647]		LVP	Glen Davis (BOS): -22.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.02	13	68%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Paul Pierce	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	16	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	14	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Semih Erden	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Luke Harangody	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.19,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.14	-0.09	-0.00	17	29%	-0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.03	0.05	19	63%	0.20	4	-0.12	19	79%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	15	63%	0.22	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.7	30.2	16.4	28.5	2.7	30.3	136.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +43.5%

CHI +6.8%

CHI +28.5%

BOS -29.8%

CHI +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.5	86.8	101.1	105.7
season	15.7	15.7		104.8	106.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		99.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	18.5	15.3	17.1	16.9
CHI	14.6	14.2	15.3	16.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	35	35	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.05	7	-18	25	17.5	16.5	0.97	15.9	14.6	1.21
Von Wafer	13	12	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.14	-6	-5	-1	17.0	16.8	0.17	16.7	14.9	1.78
Jermaine O'Neal	24	23	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.06	0	-11	11	15.2	17.5	-2.30	15.7	14.9	0.71
Semih Erden	12	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-9	7	15.9	17.0	-1.08	12.3	15.6	-3.23
Rajon Rondo	71	70	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-10	9	16.4	18.4	-1.98	15.3	14.6	0.69
Ray Allen	73	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-8	5	16.7	17.4	-0.66	15.3	14.4	0.84
Paul Pierce	75	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.18	-3	-8	5	16.3	19.4	-3.13	15.3	14.2	1.17
Nate Robinson	20	19	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	18.4	16.4	1.98	14.6	15.3	-0.69
Luke Harangody	26	24	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	18.6	16.2	2.41	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Marquis Daniels	25	25	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	2	-15	18.0	16.4	1.58	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Glen Davis	81	80	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.13	-13	2	-15	16.9	16.2	0.74	15.0	16.1	-1.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronnie Brewer	63	63	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.07	26	-15	41	13.9	18.0	-4.06	16.7	17.1	-0.41
Taj Gibson	38	40	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-3	17	13.5	16.4	-2.88	17.6	16.3	1.33
Derrick Rose	73	75	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.07	9	2	7	15.2	14.6	0.68	16.2	19.9	-3.74
Carlos Boozer	67	67	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.15	6	5	1	15.6	13.7	1.85	17.0	16.4	0.65
Luol Deng	74	77	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	8	-5	15.5	13.1	2.39	16.4	19.1	-2.70
Kyle Korver	21	22	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.02	8	3	5	14.0	15.5	-1.47	17.8	16.6	1.21
CJ Watson	20	19	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	6	-1	15.8	14.9	0.87	19.3	16.2	3.04
Omer Asik	17	18	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	10	-9	14.9	15.2	-0.30	16.8	16.9	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	52	53	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	14	-17	15.4	14.8	0.63	16.5	17.4	-0.92
Keith Bogans	20	21	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	25	-39	18.5	14.1	4.42	17.0	16.8	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.84,0.74,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 72, SAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	93.8%
CHI 88, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
MIN 84, BOS 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.0%