NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	79		Excitement	6.4 [530]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +15.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	2.3 [370]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (GSW): -23.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andris Biedrins	0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Randolph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Nelson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.06
Ronny Turiaf	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	12	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	16	35%	-0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Al Harrington	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	15	20%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	21	37%	-0.08	5	-0.15	4	75%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	11	82%	0.27	6	-0.11	11	82%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	13	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	54%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	21%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	12	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Darrell Arthur	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.1	15.7	25.1	2.4	26.7	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +55.4%

MEM +7.2%

GSW -3.0%

GSW -6.9%

GSW -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MEM	NBA	GSW	MEM	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	15.5	84.0	97.8	106.4
season	13.8	16.1		107.3	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.0		107.6	111.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.4	12.3	14.3	15.4	14.3
MEM	15.3	15.4	17.0	19.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandan Wright	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-15	19	12.1	14.8	-2.67	16.8	16.7	0.14
Anthony Randolph	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	13.0	14.3	-1.28	17.0	16.7	0.27
Marco Belinelli	7	8	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.08	1	-12	13	14.1	14.3	-0.12	15.7	16.8	-1.08
Andris Biedrins	71	69	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-5	-1	15.0	12.0	2.93	16.4	17.8	-1.39
Ronny Turiaf	20	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.15	-2	-9	7	11.1	15.1	-4.01	16.9	16.7	0.19
DeMarcus Nelson	52	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-6	1	14.2	14.3	-0.05	15.5	18.4	-2.81
CJ Watson	38	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-7	3	13.5	14.8	-1.27	18.8	15.4	3.42
Kelenna Azubuike	48	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	13.7	14.8	-1.03	17.3	16.2	1.17
Stephen Jackson	87	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	1	-13	14.3	14.1	0.12	16.8	15.7	1.08
Corey Maggette	60	58	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.19	-9	-2	-7	15.1	12.7	2.47	17.5	15.4	2.11
Al Harrington	65	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.06	-19	8	-27	15.1	12.3	2.86	15.7	19.1	-3.40

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	60	61	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-2	15	17.5	15.2	2.33	14.0	14.8	-0.77
O.J. Mayo	77	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	0	11	16.7	17.1	-0.47	14.3	13.8	0.54
Darko Milicic	23	22	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.21	9	2	7	21.2	15.3	5.91	13.2	14.6	-1.34
Rudy Gay	72	74	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	0	11	15.8	20.2	-4.49	14.4	13.8	0.51
Mike Conley	53	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	17.1	16.3	0.79	15.3	12.9	2.36
Quinton Ross	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.12	2	9	-7	20.4	15.4	4.97	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Kyle Lowry	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	16.3	17.1	-0.79	12.9	15.3	-2.36
Marc Gasol	69	72	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.03	2	9	-7	15.3	21.2	-5.91	14.6	13.2	1.34
Darrell Arthur	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	13	-15	15.2	17.5	-2.33	14.8	14.0	0.77
Greg Buckner	10	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	13	-15	15.3	16.9	-1.61	13.5	14.3	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.81,0.79,0.92,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	94.2%
PHI 85, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,1	93.5%
PHI 71, NYK 78	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,1,1,1,1	93.3%