NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	6.2 [560]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +12.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	89		Comeback	1.4 [767]		LVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): -20.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	23	60%	0.24	7	-0.18	2	100%	0.01
Nick Young	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	42%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Royal Ivey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06	0.03	-0.06	0.02	15	53%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Dorell Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	7	29%	-0.09	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.03	10	38%	-0.18	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.05	-0.03	17	52%	0.14	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	18	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	11	67%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Claver	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	4	80%	0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	25.3	14.8	22.2	1.7	33.2	122.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +52.1%

POR +1.9%

PHI -12.4%

POR +4.6%

POR +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	POR	NBA	PHI	POR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.7	15.4	97.7	102.3	104.1
season	15.5	15.8		100.5	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.7		107.6	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	18.4	15.9	16.3	16.4
POR	18.2	16.7	16.1	15.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	41	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.03	3	-7	10	16.2	16.6	-0.39	17.4	16.1	1.23
Lavoy Allen	55	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-1	-2	17.0	15.4	1.56	17.1	15.8	1.30
Royal Ivey	13	14	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	3	-10	15.4	16.6	-1.22	18.1	16.4	1.75
Nick Young	42	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-2	0	17.0	15.8	1.20	15.6	17.7	-2.11
Evan Turner	63	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-2	0	16.3	16.6	-0.28	16.5	17.1	-0.56
Jrue Holiday	76	76	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.35	2	-6	8	16.2	18.1	-1.91	16.3	19.1	-2.76
Thaddeus Young	61	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.18	-6	2	-8	16.3	16.7	-0.38	17.1	15.9	1.16
Dorell Wright	39	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-1	-2	16.3	16.5	-0.17	16.3	17.0	-0.69
Spencer Hawes	45	46	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-2	0	16.4	16.5	-0.10	16.7	16.6	0.08

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMarcus Aldridge	67	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-4	12	16.8	16.2	0.56	16.5	16.0	0.54
Ronnie Price	39	38	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.40	2	2	0	15.9	17.3	-1.42	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Nicolas Batum	78	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.43	-1	5	-6	16.7	16.1	0.63	16.3	18.1	-1.87
Damian Lillard	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	3	-2	16.8	16.4	0.40	16.6	15.7	0.95
Will Barton	30	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.02	9	-5	14	16.6	16.7	-0.17	17.2	16.0	1.18
Meyers Leonard	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	0	4	16.3	16.9	-0.58	16.2	16.5	-0.33
JJ Hickson	61	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	6	-8	16.9	16.3	0.58	16.5	16.2	0.33
Luke Babbitt	20	19	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	6	-8	16.2	16.8	-0.56	16.0	16.5	-0.54
Victor Claver	46	46	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	3	-2	17.2	16.1	1.05	16.8	16.0	0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.95,1	94.2%
DET 75, ATL 87	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.8%
DEN 87, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.87,0.91,0.83,0.71,0.87,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%