NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	104		Excitement	4.2 [1009]		MVP	Josh Howard (DAL): +6.9%
Dallas Mavericks	123		Comeback	1.1 [1194]		LVP	Zaza Pachulia (MIL): -13.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	7	72%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	18	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.11	13	77%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	10	27%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	13	41%	-0.04	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Zaza Pachulia	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	9	46%	-0.08	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.04

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	16	68%	0.07	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	8	79%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	15	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	9	47%	0.01	2	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.10	-0.02	0.08	25	66%	0.10	4	-0.09	9	78%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	2	57%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	9	26%	-0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	30.7	15.8	27.4	2.4	28.5	129.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.5%

DAL +10.2%

MIL -2.8%

DAL +10.0%

DAL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	DAL	NBA	MIL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.1	15.5	110.6	133.7	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		104.4	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.0		103.4	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	20.9	13.5	16.1	13.7	15.9
DAL	12.4	15.4	15.9	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	35	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-20	21	12.7	17.7	-5.00	16.3	14.4	1.90
Mo Williams	47	48	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	-9	-1	17.7	14.1	3.55	14.3	15.9	-1.55
Zaza Pachulia	33	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-12	5	14.8	16.4	-1.59	16.4	14.3	2.09
Kendall Gill	41	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-12	5	13.9	17.5	-3.60	16.1	14.3	1.86
Dan Gadzuric	49	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-10	1	17.9	13.6	4.29	14.2	15.9	-1.76
Mike James	53	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	13.4	19.1	-5.74	15.7	14.2	1.50
Michael Redd	79	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-9	-1	15.4	18.4	-2.99	14.9	16.2	-1.34
Joe Smith	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.09	-16	-3	-13	17.6	12.3	5.31	14.2	17.1	-2.97
Desmond Mason	69	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	4	-27	17.4	11.7	5.73	14.9	15.5	-0.57

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	86	89	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.15	26	-7	33	14.6	21.5	-6.87	16.3	8.2	8.11
Josh Howard	71	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	1	17	15.7	13.0	2.69	16.0	15.5	0.42
Michael Finley	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	2	15	15.3	14.1	1.27	15.4	17.6	-2.24
Jerry Stackhouse	63	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	4	11	14.8	15.6	-0.74	15.5	16.6	-1.04
Jason Terry	61	63	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.14	17	2	15	14.4	16.4	-1.93	15.3	17.1	-1.86
Erick Dampier	50	51	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	12	-5	14.4	15.9	-1.57	17.3	14.3	3.00
Alan Henderson	24	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	21	-23	16.5	14.6	1.93	15.4	16.1	-0.64
Shawn Bradley	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	20	-21	18.7	14.6	4.15	16.6	15.8	0.85
Calvin Booth	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	12.3	15.2	-2.84	6.0	16.2	-10.21
Devin Harris	17	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	22	-25	15.1	15.1	0.05	16.8	15.7	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 97, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	95.9%
ORL 74, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,1	95.6%
CLE 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1	95.3%