NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	3.5 [1112]		MVP	Andre Miller (PHI): +10.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	1.0 [983]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -14.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Wallace	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.01	0.07	11	72%	0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	1	83%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Walter Herrmann	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.00	0.07	14	59%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Morrison	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Matt Carroll	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	0.02	12	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.02	6	-0.13	7	100%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	-0.00	-0.01	12	70%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	13	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	71%	0.05	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bobby Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	46%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	34.2	15.6	26.5	2.6	28.2	131.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.4%

PHI +1.8%

PHI +6.8%

CHA -5.9%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.4	100.0	110.4	104.5
season	15.7	15.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.7	15.0		105.2	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.8	15.3	14.3	14.9	15.3
PHI	14.5	14.1	13.9	15.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Hollins	7	7	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-11	13	10.3	15.7	-5.39	18.7	14.2	4.49
Jeff McInnis	19	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-11	13	12.8	15.9	-3.04	14.7	14.5	0.19
Jake Voskuhl	14	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-6	3	16.6	15.1	1.50	16.8	14.2	2.61
Brevin Knight	54	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-11	13	16.0	14.4	1.60	15.0	14.0	1.04
Alan Anderson	42	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.12	-3	-6	3	14.8	15.7	-0.93	15.8	13.6	2.19
Primoz Brezec	16	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.11	-11	2	-13	17.2	14.9	2.27	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Adam Morrison	65	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-10	11	15.4	15.1	0.34	14.9	13.7	1.24
Walter Herrmann	57	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-7	5	14.8	16.0	-1.25	14.6	14.4	0.22
Raymond Felton	56	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-4	-1	14.9	15.8	-0.85	13.4	16.1	-2.65
Gerald Wallace	83	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.11	-11	2	-13	15.7	12.9	2.84	14.3	16.3	-2.03
Matt Carroll	72	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	8	-25	15.6	14.3	1.36	13.5	17.3	-3.73

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	82	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.17	9	0	9	14.2	16.6	-2.36	15.3	15.2	0.12
Willie Green	70	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-1	11	15.0	13.3	1.76	15.2	15.7	-0.50
Kyle Korver	70	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	14.5	14.6	-0.03	15.5	14.8	0.66
Samuel Dalembert	61	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	15.2	13.4	1.86	14.8	16.1	-1.22
Steven Hunter	41	43	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-1	11	13.8	15.1	-1.35	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Rodney Carney	61	62	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	14.1	15.3	-1.15	15.6	14.8	0.76
Joe Smith	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	7	-5	14.9	14.3	0.57	16.4	14.7	1.71
Kevin Ollie	29	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	11	-13	15.3	14.2	1.14	14.9	15.5	-0.56
Bobby Jones	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	10.9	14.9	-4.01	14.4	15.4	-1.00
Lou Williams	23	24	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.15	-3	12	-15	14.8	14.5	0.30	15.5	15.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NYK 95, POR 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,1,0.98,1,1,1,1	96.2%
WAS 86, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.2%