NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Excitement	4.0 [807]		MVP	Anthony Parker (CLE): +11.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	107		Comeback	1.1 [1044]		LVP	Lester Hudson (CLE): -8.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Parker	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.24	0.00	0.12	14	93%	0.14	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	17	47%	0.06	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Samardo Samuels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	11	55%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.04	13	39%	0.02	4	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Lester Hudson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	13	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.00	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	6	79%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	25	60%	0.12	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	63%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	45%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	26.4	16.3	22.3	2.8	26.2	121.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +46.0%

CLE -8.0%

MIL +3.4%

MIL +7.3%

MIL +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	16.9	13.4	15.6	103.2	112.6	102.8
season	15.5	14.6		99.5	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.6		103.4	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.9	17.3	16.7	18.0	16.9
MIL	11.8	14.0	15.2	12.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	64	65	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-22	35	16.4	18.0	-1.61	14.2	11.6	2.63
Luke Walton	18	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-3	-3	19.9	16.2	3.70	13.3	13.4	-0.09
Anthony Parker	64	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-14	19	16.7	17.5	-0.75	13.2	13.6	-0.36
Omri Casspi	36	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.24	2	-11	13	16.8	17.0	-0.18	12.8	13.7	-0.89
Lester Hudson	54	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	17.4	16.4	0.98	13.5	13.2	0.35
Alonzo Gee	59	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	2	-13	17.0	16.8	0.18	13.7	12.8	0.89
Antawn Jamison	77	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-6	3	16.2	19.9	-3.70	13.4	13.3	0.09
Samardo Samuels	31	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.24	-22	13	-35	18.0	16.4	1.61	11.6	14.2	-2.63
Donald Sloan	72	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	0.07	-20	11	-31	16.8	17.3	-0.41	13.4	13.4	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	73	73	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	0	9	13.0	14.5	-1.47	16.5	18.5	-2.02
Monta Ellis	72	73	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.11	10	-1	11	13.5	13.1	0.37	16.1	19.7	-3.56
Ersan Ilyasova	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	4	1	13.6	12.6	0.91	16.9	17.2	-0.32
Beno Udrih	34	34	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.13	5	4	1	14.0	13.0	0.94	18.4	16.1	2.23
Brandon Jennings	72	71	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	6	-3	13.0	14.6	-1.58	16.9	17.1	-0.18
Ekpe Udoh	62	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.18	3	6	-3	13.7	12.7	0.98	16.6	17.7	-1.07
Larry Sanders	25	25	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.01	8	1	7	13.0	13.5	-0.55	18.5	16.4	2.13
Mike Dunleavy	50	49	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	7	-5	13.4	13.4	-0.02	17.4	16.5	0.95
Shaun Livingston	12	12	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	13.4	13.4	0.06	18.2	16.8	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 71, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 91, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.4%
POR 95, OKC 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%