NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	71		Excitement	3.6 [1134]		MVP	Vince Carter (PHX): +9.2%
Phoenix Suns	88		Comeback	1.1 [515]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -13.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.04	13	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Semih Erden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Harangody	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	6	21%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	15	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Glen Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.01	4	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.18	0.01	-0.04	6	39%	-0.02	7	-0.11	6	83%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	13	63%	0.09	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	8	62%	0.08	5	-0.08	5	80%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.7	30.5	20.4	26.9	2.8	44.7	157.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.0%

PHX +3.5%

PHX +5.4%

PHX +1.9%

PHX +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.1	14.8	15.5	73.2	91.7	105.7
season	15.7	14.5		104.8	108.0
opponent	15.7	15.8		109.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.8	14.9	14.9	14.5	15.1
PHX	14.2	13.3	13.9	18.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Harangody	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	13.2	15.2	-1.96	20.1	14.4	5.77
Shaquille O'Neal	32	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.07	0	-17	17	15.9	14.6	1.23	12.7	15.8	-3.12
Semih Erden	15	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-10	3	14.8	15.1	-0.30	18.2	14.2	4.01
Nate Robinson	37	36	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-14	11	15.0	15.1	-0.13	15.6	14.3	1.36
Marquis Daniels	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.14	0	-17	17	15.1	15.0	0.12	15.6	14.2	1.47
Kendrick Perkins	42	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-16	15	13.9	15.9	-2.06	15.9	13.9	1.98
Von Wafer	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	-7	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.43	14.6	15.0	-0.41
Kevin Garnett	56	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.06	-7	-10	3	14.8	15.4	-0.54	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Glen Davis	26	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-5	-7	17.0	14.3	2.71	13.5	15.2	-1.78
Paul Pierce	64	64	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	-2	-13	14.9	15.4	-0.56	14.1	16.2	-2.14
Ray Allen	62	61	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.04	-14	-3	-11	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.3	13.8	1.52
Rajon Rondo	60	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-3	-11	15.1	15.0	0.13	14.0	16.1	-2.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	68	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.18	21	-4	25	14.7	15.0	-0.34	14.8	15.6	-0.81
Vince Carter	71	69	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	2	13	14.7	15.0	-0.34	15.2	14.8	0.37
Channing Frye	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.07	15	2	13	15.5	13.9	1.62	15.5	14.5	1.05
Marcin Gortat	57	60	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	4	9	15.2	14.2	1.07	15.2	14.8	0.43
Jared Dudley	44	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.09	14	3	11	14.9	14.7	0.13	15.2	14.9	0.35
Mickael Pietrus	45	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	5	7	15.7	14.0	1.65	15.4	14.8	0.60
Grant Hill	48	46	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.15	0	17	-17	14.3	15.3	-1.04	14.5	15.6	-1.13
Robin Lopez	39	38	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.06	2	15	-13	14.2	15.2	-1.07	14.4	15.5	-1.08
Goran Dragic	28	29	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	21	-25	15.0	14.7	0.34	15.6	14.8	0.81
Hakim Warrick	26	28	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	20	-23	12.9	15.5	-2.62	14.6	15.2	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ORL 94, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 74, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%