NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	74		Excitement	4.2 [1006]		MVP	Kris Humphries (BKN): +6.2%
Brooklyn Nets	82		Comeback	1.1 [1210]		LVP	JJ Redick (ORL): -11.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh McRoberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Nikola Vucevic	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	15	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	17	49%	-0.03	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Ish Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	21	43%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.04	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
JJ Redick	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	34%	-0.08	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	11	58%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	12	57%	0.09	3	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	13	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	18	53%	0.05	7	-0.14	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	0.8	28.3	14.7	25.1	1.5	38.3	134.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +41.8%

BKN +0.2%

BKN +10.7%

ORL -3.7%

BKN +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	BKN	NBA	ORL	BKN	NBA
this game	15.7	15.8	15.4	82.2	88.2	104.1
season	15.5	16.5		100.3	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.3		104.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.6	16.5	15.7	15.2	15.7
BKN	12.7	17.0	18.6	15.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	14.5	16.0	-1.51	12.1	16.5	-4.38
Andrew Nicholson	6	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-9	10	14.2	15.8	-1.67	16.3	15.7	0.58
Gustavo Ayon	12	14	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-7	6	17.7	15.4	2.24	19.4	15.1	4.24
Maurice Harkless	20	20	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	6	-20	17.8	15.1	2.67	13.6	16.3	-2.74
JJ Redick	74	77	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-11	14	14.7	20.2	-5.51	15.6	16.3	-0.68
Arron Afflalo	76	79	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.41	4	-12	16	15.5	17.0	-1.51	16.1	13.6	2.57
Glen Davis	71	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-8	8	15.5	16.4	-0.82	15.4	17.1	-1.63
Nikola Vucevic	76	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-8	8	15.4	17.4	-2.02	16.5	12.5	4.02
Josh McRoberts	25	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.30	-25	17	-42	18.6	14.6	3.93	13.2	16.7	-3.49
E'Twaun Moore	75	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	0	-8	16.0	14.5	1.51	16.5	12.1	4.38

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	79	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-4	16	15.7	15.8	-0.04	15.8	15.2	0.57
Brook Lopez	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	4	0	16.7	13.6	3.12	15.7	15.7	0.02
Jerry Stackhouse	26	26	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-4	16	16.2	15.6	0.61	17.6	15.0	2.61
Reggie Evans	30	25	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	-1	10	14.4	16.4	-1.95	17.0	15.2	1.71
Keith Bogans	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.03	10	-2	12	15.7	15.8	-0.11	16.1	15.5	0.64
Deron Williams	69	70	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.23	0	8	-8	16.3	14.1	2.25	15.3	17.1	-1.77
Kris Humphries	65	65	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	9	-10	15.9	15.4	0.46	15.2	17.0	-1.71
CJ Watson	46	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	9	-10	16.0	15.5	0.53	15.5	16.0	-0.49
Andray Blatche	24	22	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	4	0	14.9	16.1	-1.18	16.6	15.4	1.21
Tyshawn Taylor	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	1.0	15.9	-14.91	0.0	15.7	-15.72
Josh Childress	25	21	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.25	-9	17	-26	13.5	16.6	-3.05	13.3	16.4	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 91, CHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%
MEM 89, NJN 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1	96.0%
CLE 98, MIL 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.96,1,1	95.9%