NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	89		Excitement	4.0 [1024]		MVP	Eduardo Najera (NJN): +8.5%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	1.0 [1034]		LVP	Hakim Warrick (MEM): -10.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	20	58%	0.10	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.02	9	64%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Darrell Arthur	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	53%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.01	0.08	18	56%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Hakim Warrick	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	12	34%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	62%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	74%	0.12	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	69%	0.13	5	-0.09	14	86%	0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	9	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	12	37%	-0.01	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.3	2.3	27.6	15.5	26.4	2.4	29.6	132.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +31.6%

NJN +9.9%

NJN +6.2%

NJN +0.1%

NJN +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	NJN	NBA	MEM	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	15.8	15.5	95.7	108.7	106.4
season	16.1	16.0		101.7	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.3		108.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	15.0	13.5	15.7	15.3
NJN	14.0	16.3	15.9	17.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Arthur	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.02	-5	-6	1	16.4	15.1	1.29	17.2	15.6	1.57
Quinton Ross	13	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	-1	-9	19.7	14.6	5.07	14.1	16.1	-2.04
Greg Buckner	42	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-6	1	15.2	15.5	-0.26	16.3	15.4	0.92
Mike Conley	49	47	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.16	-3	-8	5	15.1	15.6	-0.45	16.3	15.3	0.92
Kyle Lowry	44	45	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-3	-5	15.6	15.1	0.45	15.3	16.3	-0.92
O.J. Mayo	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-7	3	15.2	16.5	-1.34	16.2	13.2	3.03
Hakim Warrick	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	15.7	14.6	1.13	15.8	15.7	0.11
Rudy Gay	80	79	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	-3	-5	14.6	19.9	-5.34	15.4	18.2	-2.74
Marc Gasol	79	79	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	15.1	16.4	-1.29	15.6	17.2	-1.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	65	66	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.04	18	-7	25	14.8	18.3	-3.53	15.7	14.3	1.41
Vince Carter	78	79	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.07	12	-1	13	15.1	20.0	-4.95	15.2	16.4	-1.21
Keyon Dooling	77	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	7	-3	16.5	12.3	4.23	14.7	18.1	-3.41
Yi Jianlian	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	15.7	16.1	-0.38	15.3	15.5	-0.24
Josh Boone	27	28	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	5	1	16.2	15.6	0.54	18.5	14.0	4.58
Jarvis Hayes	46	48	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	8	-5	16.0	15.6	0.48	15.6	15.1	0.47
Brook Lopez	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	7	-3	16.0	15.3	0.72	14.1	17.8	-3.69
Eduardo Najera	26	28	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	5	1	16.1	15.7	0.38	15.5	15.3	0.24
Chris Douglas-Roberts	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	14	-17	18.9	15.3	3.58	16.1	15.2	0.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 74, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.98,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.98,1	96.0%
CLE 96, IND 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.73,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.7%
DET 99, WAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1	95.7%