inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 99 Excitement4.2 [980] MVPGilbert Arenas (WAS): +20.2%
Washington Wizards 104 Comeback1.0 [879] LVPRichard Hamilton (DET): -8.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio McDyess0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.030.01673%0.112-0.043100%0.02
Rasheed Wallace0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.010.011262%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Tayshaun Prince0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.040.08-0.010.031168%0.092-0.05683%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.01554%0.0100.003100%0.01
Dale Davis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Webber-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.01650%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.02333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.020.071762%0.035-0.10580%0.01
Richard Hamilton-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.02-0.020.041256%0.024-0.103100%0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.20.200.210.030.042069%0.242-0.041292%0.03
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.01-0.00883%0.112-0.0220%-0.03
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.02564%0.0700.00475%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.02669%0.102-0.031100%0.01
Jarvis Hayes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.040.04-0.02844%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.01333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.00-0.00540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.011541%-0.021-0.02250%-0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.01547%0.002-0.04757%-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.328.316.825.72.540.4140.3
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +24.7%
DET -1.6%
WAS +13.0%
WAS +9.8%
WAS +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETWASNBADETWASNBA
this game15.216.515.4108.8114.3104.5
season16.814.8106.1107.8
opponent15.315.7108.7101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.715.812.414.115.2
WAS14.916.221.314.216.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ronald Murray1615-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-5517.214.72.4416.316.5-0.25
Jason Maxiell89-0.05-0.450.40-0.050-5521.014.66.3916.616.50.09
Dale Davis1413-0.14-0.360.230.07-72-914.615.3-0.6313.816.9-3.06
Antonio McDyess3130-0.19-0.310.12-0.07-4-1-314.915.3-0.4615.816.8-1.05
Rasheed Wallace6566-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.384-91315.215.00.1917.114.82.25
Chris Webber5151-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.13-50-515.914.21.7417.515.12.40
Richard Hamilton5658-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.342-7914.716.0-1.3416.416.5-0.07
Carlos Delfino3433-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.11-61-712.916.5-3.6614.417.7-3.31
Lindsey Hunter2725-0.30-0.20-0.100.05-127-1915.615.00.5915.117.0-1.86
Tayshaun Prince7475-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.371-6715.115.3-0.1517.014.03.00
Chauncey Billups7980-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.412-7915.115.7-0.6616.813.92.92

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler87860.470.030.450.3641316.417.2-0.8115.312.62.73
Gilbert Arenas83820.450.050.390.3632116.714.02.7115.313.71.67
Etan Thomas43440.290.210.070.116-1715.517.4-1.8716.114.31.73
Antonio Daniels47460.270.230.050.30-16-715.018.0-3.0515.115.2-0.09
Jarvis Hayes43420.260.240.020.2605-514.118.6-4.5115.215.20.03
DeShawn Stevenson54550.250.25-0.010.2214-317.015.61.3914.216.7-2.56
Brendan Haywood44430.210.29-0.080.1814-318.914.24.6715.115.2-0.16
Calvin Booth35370.120.38-0.260.0623-119.914.35.5913.916.1-2.16
Roger Mason Jr.9100.090.41-0.31-0.0241314.416.7-2.2512.315.5-3.23
Antawn Jamison10100.090.41-0.33-0.0650512.317.0-4.6922.314.38.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 80, DEN 880.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.83,0.93,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.98,195.8%
MIA 78, NJN 970.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.78,0.92,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%
MIA 102, HOU 1120.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.79,0.95,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,195.8%