NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	100		Excitement	6.2 [557]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +24.6%
Golden State Warriors	91		Comeback	1.3 [417]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -13.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.25	0.14	0.12	0.02	8	89%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jiri Welsch	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Mike James	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.05	4	-0.11	1	0%	-0.01
Jumaine Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	13	43%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	17	47%	-0.08	3	-0.05	11	82%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	100%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	10	38%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	12	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.03	-0.00	11	36%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	14	57%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.05	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.04	2	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.5	25.4	16.4	28.4	2.5	28.2	130.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +39.7%

BOS +2.5%

GSW -9.8%

BOS +15.1%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	GSW	NBA	BOS	GSW	NBA
this game	13.9	15.2	15.7	100.0	92.9	100.5
season	14.4	16.1		99.5	100.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		101.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	13.6	12.5	15.9	13.9
GSW	14.4	15.2	15.8	15.4	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	60	62	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.18	12	-3	15	13.1	15.1	-2.05	15.4	14.9	0.47
Ricky Davis	56	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-6	21	12.1	16.2	-4.04	15.4	14.9	0.57
Paul Pierce	80	78	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	1	7	14.4	11.8	2.65	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Jumaine Jones	36	35	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	-1	11	12.5	14.7	-2.22	15.9	14.8	1.05
Marcus Banks	26	27	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-1	11	10.4	15.2	-4.78	16.4	14.7	1.64
Mike James	74	71	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	10	-11	15.2	10.4	4.78	14.7	16.4	-1.64
Walter McCarty	64	63	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	10	-11	14.7	12.5	2.22	14.8	15.9	-1.05
Jiri Welsch	66	63	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	14	-19	14.6	12.5	2.11	15.0	15.6	-0.60
Vin Baker	38	35	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	12	-15	15.5	13.0	2.51	14.9	15.3	-0.46

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Murphy	49	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.28	8	-17	25	15.2	15.2	0.04	14.0	13.8	0.24
Avery Johnson	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	13.0	15.3	-2.30	10.7	14.1	-3.46
Jason Richardson	63	64	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.29	8	-17	25	14.4	16.5	-2.11	15.1	11.8	3.35
Brian Cardinal	29	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.20	5	-14	19	15.3	15.1	0.23	14.7	13.6	1.05
Speedy Claxton	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-2	-5	14.6	15.5	-0.86	12.5	14.8	-2.32
Mike Dunleavy	56	58	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	3	-15	14.9	15.6	-0.72	13.9	13.9	0.03
Nick Van Exel	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-5	1	15.9	13.5	2.42	14.9	11.7	3.17
Clifford Robinson	57	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	4	-17	15.2	15.1	0.15	13.9	13.9	-0.01
Calbert Cheaney	74	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	1	-11	15.4	14.6	0.74	13.2	15.9	-2.71
Erick Dampier	51	53	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.03	-18	9	-27	15.6	14.7	0.97	13.1	14.9	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 122, CHI 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.8%
ORL 96, WAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.2%
UTA 93, DAL 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.1%