NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	96		Excitement	5.4 [740]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +7.2%
Washington Wizards	87		Comeback	1.1 [1056]		LVP	Michael Jordan (WAS): -16.3%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	20	54%	0.07	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Troy Hudson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.04	-0.03	11	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	16	52%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Patrick Ewing	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.01	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Pat Garrity	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	7	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.05
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	15	50%	-0.01	4	-0.05	12	92%	0.02
Popeye Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	19	37%	-0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	28.6	18.7	28.4	2.6	33.6	140.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.5%

WAS -3.3%

ORL +3.0%

ORL +8.3%

ORL +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.6	106.7	97.8	102.3
season	14.6	16.5		104.6	102.2
opponent	15.3	15.8		103.9	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.2	13.7	15.9	18.3	15.5
WAS	19.4	15.6	18.4	13.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jud Buechler	54	52	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-6	21	14.8	16.6	-1.85	15.8	17.9	-2.02
Pat Garrity	51	50	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	3	3	15.3	15.8	-0.48	16.3	17.2	-0.83
Darrell Armstrong	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	1	7	15.8	14.2	1.60	16.5	17.9	-1.48
Patrick Ewing	51	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	2	5	15.4	15.7	-0.34	16.4	17.1	-0.63
Tracy McGrady	58	58	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	17.2	12.4	4.75	16.7	16.7	0.01
Troy Hudson	38	36	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	5	-1	14.1	16.5	-2.46	16.3	17.0	-0.68
Mike Miller	48	48	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	8	-7	14.8	16.3	-1.43	17.6	15.6	2.04
Horace Grant	39	39	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.06	3	6	-3	15.8	15.3	0.48	17.2	16.3	0.83
Steven Hunter	37	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.09	-1	10	-11	15.9	15.2	0.67	17.9	15.9	2.07

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	8	7	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-7	5	14.7	16.9	-2.13	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Jahidi White	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-7	5	19.0	15.7	3.32	17.2	14.7	2.54
Tyronn Lue	46	47	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-9	9	15.9	17.5	-1.55	14.9	16.2	-1.31
Brendan Haywood	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.17	0	-9	9	16.2	17.3	-1.15	14.9	16.3	-1.46
Christian Laettner	55	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	16.4	17.2	-0.84	15.6	15.4	0.19
Chris Whitney	33	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	-2	-5	17.1	16.4	0.64	15.0	15.8	-0.82
Popeye Jones	18	18	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	18.2	16.3	1.93	14.3	15.8	-1.53
Michael Jordan	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-4	-1	17.3	15.3	1.99	16.3	14.0	2.30
Hubert Davis	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.19	-10	1	-11	16.2	18.9	-2.79	15.1	17.2	-2.14
Richard Hamilton	75	77	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.25	-8	-1	-7	16.5	17.5	-0.97	15.9	12.9	3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 122, CHI 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	95.1%
POR 96, LAL 88	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%
LAC 90, CHI 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.9%