NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	96		Excitement	5.4 [731]		MVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): +8.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	88		Comeback	1.0 [559]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -15.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Arvydas Sabonis	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.02	12	71%	0.15	4	-0.07	7	57%	-0.01
Brian Grant	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.03	-0.06	21	44%	0.04	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Detlef Schrempf	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	64%	0.04	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Bonzi Wells	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	8	59%	0.04	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	12	54%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	6	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
John Salley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	20	60%	0.12	5	-0.15	12	58%	-0.01
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	8	21%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	13	49%	-0.00	6	-0.15	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.0	2.4	32.4	20.6	30.3	3.3	34.4	155.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +40.4%

POR +0.9%

LAL -3.5%

POR +11.8%

POR +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.2	106.7	96.7	101.7
season	15.9	15.3		105.9	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.7		98.1	99.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	14.4	20.9	17.9	16.7
LAL	17.4	14.4	17.0	12.1	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	85	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	0	8	17.0	12.2	4.80	15.1	15.0	0.10
Detlef Schrempf	54	55	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-1	10	16.4	17.3	-0.95	12.8	18.5	-5.69
Steven Smith	70	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.23	5	3	2	16.8	16.6	0.17	15.3	14.5	0.72
Brian Grant	46	47	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	5	-2	16.5	17.0	-0.43	12.6	17.7	-5.15
Scottie Pippen	82	82	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.28	2	6	-4	16.6	18.1	-1.53	15.1	15.2	-0.15
Arvydas Sabonis	46	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.02	7	1	6	16.9	16.5	0.37	18.0	11.9	6.07
Damon Stoudamire	28	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.01	5	3	2	16.6	16.8	-0.18	16.4	14.5	1.88
Greg Anthony	13	14	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	4	0	15.8	16.9	-1.04	17.5	14.6	2.85
Bonzi Wells	24	27	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.07	-1	9	-10	18.3	16.2	2.18	16.1	14.6	1.51
Jermaine O'Neal	2	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	10	-12	9.0	16.9	-7.91	12.0	15.2	-3.16

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salley	5	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-6	4	10.6	15.3	-4.75	13.0	16.9	-3.86
A.C. Green	26	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-5	2	18.3	13.8	4.56	17.8	16.3	1.54
Glen Rice	60	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.27	4	-12	16	15.6	14.1	1.55	17.0	16.1	0.90
Derek Fisher	50	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-12	16	14.3	16.0	-1.75	15.5	18.1	-2.64
Brian Shaw	14	13	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	2	-12	12.3	15.6	-3.31	17.5	16.6	0.85
Kobe Bryant	64	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-4	0	15.7	13.6	2.13	16.8	16.6	0.20
Rick Fox	32	31	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	4	-16	13.6	15.9	-2.26	16.0	17.1	-1.17
Ron Harper	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.8	14.1	1.74	17.7	15.3	2.42
Robert Horry	65	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.30	-5	-3	-2	13.8	18.3	-4.56	16.2	18.1	-1.89
Shaquille O'Neal	85	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	15.5	8.8	6.70	16.9	12.5	4.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 99, WAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.5%
DET 97, PHI 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
LAC 114, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%