NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	102		Excitement	5.5 [703]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +12.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	1.2 [325]		LVP	Eric Snow (PHI): -16.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.01	14	62%	0.16	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.02
Gilbert Arenas	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.02,0.09	-0.08	0.13	-0.05	12	39%	0.11	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0.05	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05	0.06	-0.04	-0.03	24	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Troy Murphy	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	82%	0.06	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jason Richardson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.09	0.02	10	60%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.04	-0.03	10	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0	0.00	-0.01	0.02	0.01	18	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.08	0.02	11	55%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	22	48%	-0.05	3	-0.06	14	86%	0.02
Derrick Coleman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	9	35%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	9	32%	-0.11	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	33.0	14.8	25.2	2.5	29.6	130.8
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.4%

GSW +6.8%

GSW +7.0%

PHI -8.2%

GSW +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	PHI	NBA	GSW	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.5	103.0	99.0	101.6
season	14.6	15.3		105.3	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.1		99.9	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	12.6	14.7	20.3	14.8
PHI	13.2	14.6	14.1	15.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	93	93	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-4	12	15.0	11.5	3.49	14.0	19.3	-5.34
Jason Richardson	74	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-4	12	13.8	17.6	-3.78	14.0	15.2	-1.18
Earl Boykins	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.16	9	-5	14	15.7	13.9	1.73	14.4	14.2	0.23
Adonal Foyle	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	-2	8	16.2	13.6	2.57	15.4	13.4	2.03
Mike Dunleavy	19	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-2	8	14.6	14.8	-0.18	15.4	14.1	1.33
Erick Dampier	51	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	6	-8	14.0	15.6	-1.69	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Gilbert Arenas	68	68	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.52	-13	17	-30	15.2	13.8	1.37	14.7	13.4	1.40
Bob Sura	33	32	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	-2	8	15.1	14.6	0.42	14.2	14.4	-0.23
Troy Murphy	62	63	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.27	-8	12	-20	14.0	16.1	-2.12	13.9	15.1	-1.17

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	43	41	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-10	16	15.0	13.7	1.30	14.1	15.3	-1.16
Derrick Coleman	67	66	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.37	8	-12	20	14.0	15.0	-1.01	15.1	14.2	0.85
Tyrone Hill	45	47	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	5	-14	13.9	14.7	-0.82	12.8	16.6	-3.75
Kenny Thomas	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-1	-2	14.4	14.1	0.39	15.0	14.4	0.60
Keith Van Horn	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	14.8	13.8	1.04	16.2	13.4	2.82
Allen Iverson	91	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-6	8	13.9	19.2	-5.37	15.1	10.6	4.53
Aaron McKie	62	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.27	-5	1	-6	14.2	14.5	-0.23	14.7	15.0	-0.32
Eric Snow	73	74	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.12	-15	11	-26	14.6	13.5	1.10	14.7	14.9	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.09,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	93.7%
CHA 105, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0	93.6%
WAS 99, PHI 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.29,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.14,0	93.4%