NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	105		Excitement	5.6 [666]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +11.5%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.0 [596]		LVP	JJ Redick (ORL): -18.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.08	0.03	16	67%	0.21	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.02	16	60%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Bismack Biyombo	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	11	45%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	17	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	9	38%	-0.01	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	13	45%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	11	60%	0.15	3	-0.12	8	87%	0.05
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	16	53%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.04	14	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	11	45%	-0.01	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.00	14	33%	-0.10	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	25.4	15.6	26.3	1.7	33.4	129.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +38.5%

ORL -2.7%

CHA +5.7%

CHA +5.8%

CHA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	ORL	NBA	CHA	ORL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.4	109.4	95.8	104.1
season	15.6	15.5		99.9	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	14.1	15.9	15.6	14.9
ORL	14.8	15.3	16.8	13.7	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Byron Mullens	84	84	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.01	19	-6	25	14.5	17.8	-3.38	14.8	17.2	-2.33
Kemba Walker	67	67	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.04	19	-6	25	15.2	14.2	1.01	15.0	15.3	-0.31
Gerald Henderson	72	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.02	15	-2	17	14.7	15.4	-0.67	15.3	14.5	0.78
Bismack Biyombo	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	4	5	15.1	14.4	0.76	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Ramon Sessions	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	11	-9	15.3	14.3	0.97	14.9	15.4	-0.45
Brendan Haywood	34	35	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.08	4	9	-5	14.4	15.1	-0.76	16.0	14.6	1.42
Jeff Taylor	22	23	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	5	3	12.9	15.5	-2.61	15.2	15.1	0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	33	32	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	13	-13	16.2	14.2	1.95	15.5	15.0	0.52
Ben Gordon	36	36	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.17	-5	18	-23	14.1	15.3	-1.27	14.9	15.3	-0.42
Jeff Adrien	12	12	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	19	-25	17.8	14.5	3.38	17.2	14.8	2.33

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	25	24	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-20	27	15.0	15.2	-0.11	14.2	15.1	-0.89
Ish Smith	15	16	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-17	21	14.5	15.2	-0.78	12.7	15.3	-2.55
E'Twaun Moore	23	22	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-10	7	14.6	15.3	-0.74	15.2	14.8	0.46
Gustavo Ayon	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-8	3	14.7	15.2	-0.55	15.8	14.7	1.11
JJ Redick	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-14	15	14.4	16.4	-1.98	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Maurice Harkless	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-5	-3	15.8	13.9	1.91	14.7	15.3	-0.60
Andrew Nicholson	63	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-3	-7	15.6	14.2	1.44	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Jameer Nelson	59	59	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.01	-14	1	-15	15.5	14.6	0.91	15.4	14.0	1.42
Nikola Vucevic	84	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	3	-19	15.0	16.2	-1.29	14.9	14.5	0.47
Arron Afflalo	71	71	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	0.03	-21	8	-29	15.1	15.2	-0.16	15.1	14.4	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	94.6%
POR 102, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.1%
HOU 88, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.01,0,0	94.1%