NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	4.8 [828]		MVP	Mario Elie (HOU): +10.9%
Dallas Mavericks	83		Comeback	1.1 [1134]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -23.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.03	9	72%	0.15	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.02	12	57%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	67%	0.00
Matt Maloney	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	68%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Sam Mack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	16	54%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bullard	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	17	32%	-0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	14	63%	0.07	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Greg Dreiling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.05
Martin Muursepp	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	10	46%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.10	-0.07	0.06	20	52%	-0.09	7	-0.15	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	26.4	18.5	24.4	2.7	34.2	133.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +45.2%

DAL -7.5%

HOU +5.7%

HOU +3.9%

HOU +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	15.9	16.4	15.6	97.8	94.3	104.4
season	15.5	15.9		107.2	99.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		105.5	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	16.5	16.2	15.4	15.9
DAL	17.8	16.2	18.1	14.0	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Maloney	65	63	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.24	13	-8	21	14.9	18.7	-3.79	17.0	15.1	1.87
Hakeem Olajuwon	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	-3	11	15.3	19.1	-3.87	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Eddie Johnson	59	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	1	3	16.2	15.5	0.65	15.1	18.8	-3.76
Mario Elie	75	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	1	3	15.6	17.7	-2.07	16.6	15.7	0.83
Kevin Willis	72	71	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.33	4	1	3	15.7	17.1	-1.39	17.3	12.9	4.31
Othella Harrington	34	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.12	-2	7	-9	18.0	14.7	3.35	14.8	17.3	-2.48
Sam Mack	15	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	4	-3	17.7	15.6	2.07	15.7	16.6	-0.83
Matt Bullard	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	4	-3	15.5	16.2	-0.65	18.8	15.1	3.76
Randy Livingston	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.12	-8	13	-21	18.7	14.9	3.79	15.1	17.0	-1.87

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Dreiling	3	3	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.02	2	-7	9	19.0	16.3	2.67	18.3	15.9	2.47
Martin Muursepp	29	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.19	7	-12	19	13.6	17.8	-4.18	17.4	15.2	2.13
Samaki Walker	23	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.06	1	-6	7	14.9	17.0	-2.10	18.4	15.1	3.29
A.C. Green	73	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	-1	-3	16.5	16.1	0.43	15.1	20.3	-5.27
Michael Finley	88	89	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	0	-5	16.4	0.0	16.42	15.8	28.0	-12.19
Erick Strickland	73	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.23	-8	3	-11	16.9	14.0	2.92	15.9	16.0	-0.07
Shawn Bradley	77	79	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.32	-9	4	-13	16.7	14.4	2.35	16.0	15.7	0.25
Khalid Reeves	74	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.33	-9	4	-13	17.0	13.2	3.81	15.6	18.2	-2.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, HOU 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0	95.0%
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	94.8%
CHA 105, ORL 92	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.19,0.03,0,0	94.1%