NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	119		Excitement	5.9 [682]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +26.5%
Washington Wizards	112		Comeback	1.1 [792]		LVP	Jabari Parker (WAS): -14.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	86%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.06	0.03	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	-0.03	0.01	11	88%	0.18	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.01	0.05	0.02	7	75%	0.18	5	-0.15	6	100%	0.02
TJ Leaf	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	9	52%	0.07	3	-0.04	7	43%	-0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	15	53%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	0%	-0.04
Cory Joseph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.11	0.05	22	67%	0.30	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.04
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	4	125%	0.13	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	86%	0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.12	-0.09	0.03	11	88%	0.14	4	-0.13	4	50%	-0.04
Bobby Portis	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	27%	-0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	10	38%	-0.06	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	8	63%	0.07	7	-0.22	3	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	23.4	14.8	27.2	1.7	46.0	138.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.2%

WAS -12.5%

IND +20.3%

IND +3.3%

IND +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	WAS	NBA	IND	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	13.4	14.3	116.7	109.8	109.3
season	14.5	13.8		108.4	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		112.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.1	13.7	16.8	14.1	14.9
WAS	12.6	14.0	14.5	12.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	58	60	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	13.7	16.5	-2.76	12.9	14.0	-1.14
Darren Collison	69	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	3	1	14.5	15.7	-1.20	12.6	14.9	-2.31
Thaddeus Young	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	1	5	15.3	14.0	1.33	13.4	13.3	0.04
Bojan Bogdanovic	68	66	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	14.9	14.9	0.00	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Wesley Matthews	74	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	5	-3	14.8	15.1	-0.26	12.9	14.6	-1.78
Tyreke Evans	29	29	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	0	7	14.6	15.0	-0.46	14.4	12.9	1.48
Doug McDermott	27	28	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	2	3	14.7	14.9	-0.24	14.6	12.9	1.78
TJ Leaf	31	33	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	8	-9	14.4	15.1	-0.67	13.5	13.3	0.19
Cory Joseph	40	40	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.01	1	6	-5	15.7	14.4	1.30	14.3	12.7	1.56
Kyle O'Quinn	44	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	16.5	13.7	2.76	14.0	12.9	1.14

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	12	11	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-5	3	13.4	13.3	0.07	12.0	15.2	-3.23
Chasson Randle	34	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	12.9	13.6	-0.62	16.0	14.4	1.63
Bobby Portis	34	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-3	-1	14.1	13.0	1.15	15.4	14.6	0.74
Wesley Johnson	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-2	-3	14.0	13.1	0.91	14.7	14.9	-0.19
Jeff Green	39	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	1	-9	14.8	12.4	2.42	16.0	14.2	1.80
Jabari Parker	63	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.29	1	-8	9	12.4	14.8	-2.42	14.2	16.0	-1.80
Thomas Bryant	68	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	13.0	14.1	-1.15	14.6	15.4	-0.74
Bradley Beal	85	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-6	5	13.3	13.4	-0.07	15.3	12.4	2.90
Trevor Ariza	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.25	-6	-1	-5	13.1	14.1	-0.99	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Tomas Satoransky	68	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	0	-7	13.6	12.9	0.62	14.4	16.0	-1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, HOU 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0	95.0%
HOU 88, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.01,0,0	94.8%
POR 96, MIN 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.03,0.02,0	94.7%