NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	102		Excitement	4.1 [988]		MVP	Brandon Roy (POR): +26.3%
New Jersey Nets	93		Comeback	1.1 [1136]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): -7.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.18	0.09	0.01	14	68%	0.26	0	0.00	13	77%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.00	20	66%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Miller	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.04	0.03	10	80%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.03	7	60%	0.05	2	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Martell Webster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.21	0.03	0.05	18	74%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	19	57%	0.11	1	-0.01	11	91%	0.05
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	120%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	11	63%	0.10	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	1.8	26.4	15.0	24.5	2.0	30.8	127.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +32.0%

NJN -3.5%

NJN -8.1%

POR +24.4%

POR +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NJN	NBA	POR	NJN	NBA
this game	18.8	17.2	15.3	127.5	116.3	106.0
season	16.7	15.9		108.8	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.6		108.3	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.4	18.1	19.0	18.6	18.8
NJN	16.6	18.9	15.3	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	65	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	18.6	19.8	-1.25	16.9	18.4	-1.45
Juwan Howard	42	43	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-2	13	18.2	19.4	-1.26	17.3	17.1	0.14
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	5	-1	18.6	22.2	-3.64	17.4	12.7	4.70
Brandon Roy	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.20	5	4	1	18.8	18.7	0.10	15.5	23.6	-8.10
Nicolas Batum	40	40	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	7	-5	18.6	18.9	-0.27	16.1	18.3	-2.27
Rudy Fernandez	31	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	6	-3	19.2	18.5	0.72	19.7	15.7	3.98
Martell Webster	31	31	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	4	1	17.9	19.3	-1.44	19.7	15.7	4.02
Jeff Ayres	10	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	3	3	23.5	18.1	5.39	13.1	17.9	-4.78
Jerryd Bayless	10	13	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	6	-3	22.1	18.3	3.79	18.9	16.9	2.04
Dante Cunningham	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.08	-2	11	-13	17.1	19.5	-2.39	18.7	16.7	2.03
Marcus Camby	9	8	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	10	-11	22.2	18.4	3.87	16.2	17.3	-1.07

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	6	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-5	1	23.3	16.7	6.62	21.0	18.6	2.36
Terrence Williams	8	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-4	-1	25.6	16.3	9.35	16.4	19.0	-2.59
Kris Humphries	18	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-8	7	21.1	16.1	5.03	19.2	18.7	0.49
Chris Douglas-Roberts	18	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	21.8	15.9	5.96	19.7	18.5	1.25
Trenton Hassell	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	15.6	21.5	-5.98	18.4	19.8	-1.46
Keyon Dooling	26	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-2	-5	20.6	15.6	5.04	17.7	19.3	-1.58
Courtney Lee	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-6	3	16.2	25.2	-9.03	18.9	18.2	0.64
Devin Harris	59	59	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	16.0	20.6	-4.62	19.6	16.6	2.94
Yi Jianlian	63	62	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	16.2	20.9	-4.66	18.5	19.9	-1.42
Brook Lopez	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	16.6	23.6	-6.97	18.8	18.5	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.8%
DEN 117, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.8%
HOU 121, DAL 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.24,0.15,0.05,0,0	94.8%