NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	4.7 [905]		MVP	Anthony Carter (NYK): +11.5%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	1.1 [934]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): -16.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rajon Rondo	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.04	-0.08	12	60%	0.14	6	-0.06	11	45%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.14	-0.01	0.08	16	68%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Glen Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.03	-0.04	18	34%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.05	-0.02	7	79%	0.14	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.08	-0.01	0.07	24	54%	0.02	2	-0.03	11	91%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	11	27%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	20	37%	-0.08	5	-0.09	12	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.2	3.4	38.4	19.6	29.5	3.5	28.4	154.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +47.9%

NYK -0.4%

BOS +5.4%

NYK -0.9%

NYK -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	NYK	NBA	BOS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	13.5	15.5	102.0	89.9	105.7
season	15.7	14.3		104.8	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.8		108.4	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.7	15.4	15.6	18.2	15.6
NYK	12.5	15.2	11.5	15.3	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	79	79	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-1	14	15.2	17.4	-2.24	13.5	13.4	0.09
Ray Allen	82	84	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	1	10	16.2	12.6	3.58	13.9	11.0	2.92
Kevin Garnett	64	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	4	4	17.2	12.8	4.40	13.3	13.7	-0.37
Jermaine O'Neal	43	46	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.02	14	-2	16	15.0	16.1	-1.17	14.1	13.0	1.10
Rajon Rondo	87	88	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.21	5	7	-2	15.1	19.4	-4.32	13.3	15.1	-1.82
Glen Davis	58	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	7	-2	15.2	16.2	-0.99	13.5	13.4	0.10
Nenad Krstic	18	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	7	-2	14.2	15.9	-1.70	12.9	13.6	-0.64
Delonte West	25	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.00	0	12	-12	17.6	14.9	2.71	13.8	13.4	0.47
Jeff Green	39	37	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	13	-14	14.5	16.3	-1.78	12.4	14.1	-1.79

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	13	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-11	10	12.2	13.7	-1.43	13.6	15.9	-2.30
Roger Mason Jr.	44	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.28	6	-18	24	13.4	13.5	-0.12	16.6	14.8	1.75
Anthony Carter	47	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-15	18	12.8	14.1	-1.31	17.0	14.3	2.73
Ronny Turiaf	26	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-2	-8	13.7	13.4	0.30	16.5	15.3	1.21
Henry Walker	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-7	2	13.2	13.6	-0.48	13.9	16.5	-2.64
Landry Fields	29	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	0	-12	14.3	13.1	1.13	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Toney Douglas	48	47	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	2	-16	13.8	13.2	0.66	14.3	16.8	-2.55
Shawne Williams	78	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-6	0	13.3	14.0	-0.73	15.4	16.6	-1.21
Carmelo Anthony	88	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-2	-8	13.4	14.3	-0.90	15.7	14.6	1.10
Amar'e Stoudemire	89	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.14	-11	-1	-10	13.9	9.7	4.20	16.0	11.9	4.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 100, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.3%
DEN 117, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0	95.2%
SAS 92, HOU 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0	95.2%