NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	100		Excitement	4.8 [871]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +24.2%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.1 [315]		LVP	Kawhi Leonard (SAS): -9.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.03	-0.02	26	65%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	5	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	7	57%	0.07	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Festus Ezeli	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	20	45%	0.06	2	-0.04	9	67%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.03	8	31%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	14	41%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	62%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	20	51%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Tracy McGrady	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	17	49%	0.06	3	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	32%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.03	11	41%	-0.05	2	-0.04	5	20%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.4	31.4	19.7	29.2	3.6	30.2	142.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +54.1%

SAS -0.1%

SAS -7.9%

GSW +6.8%

SAS -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	SAS	NBA	GSW	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.4	109.9	98.9	104.1
season	14.6	15.2		104.6	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.3		99.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.1	13.7	18.2	17.3	16.1
SAS	19.2	17.0	13.1	12.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	83	84	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-7	23	15.5	22.2	-6.77	15.5	14.5	0.99
Klay Thompson	88	89	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.18	10	-1	11	16.0	19.3	-3.37	15.4	15.0	0.42
Harrison Barnes	75	72	0.47	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	-1	11	16.5	14.2	2.29	16.0	13.3	2.69
Draymond Green	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.12	11	-2	13	15.3	17.8	-2.52	16.0	14.0	1.93
Andrew Bogut	57	56	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	2	5	15.2	17.5	-2.22	16.6	13.5	3.17
Jarrett Jack	41	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	11	-13	16.9	15.4	1.41	14.4	16.3	-1.89
Carl Landry	25	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	10	-11	17.4	15.6	1.77	12.4	16.7	-4.38
Festus Ezeli	23	23	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	15	-21	18.7	15.2	3.56	14.2	15.8	-1.64

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	8.0	15.6	-7.57	17.5	16.0	1.46
Patty Mills	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	8.0	15.6	-7.57	17.5	16.0	1.46
Cory Joseph	7	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-8	7	16.7	15.3	1.42	18.1	15.9	2.26
Gary Neal	40	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-16	23	13.9	16.5	-2.61	16.1	16.0	0.09
Boris Diaw	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-6	3	16.9	15.1	1.80	16.3	16.0	0.31
Tim Duncan	67	69	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-9	9	16.2	13.2	3.08	16.6	14.4	2.26
Matt Bonner	30	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	0	-9	17.4	14.4	2.96	14.9	16.6	-1.78
Tiago Splitter	23	20	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	2	-13	13.6	16.0	-2.39	14.0	16.6	-2.60
Manu Ginobili	52	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.9	14.8	1.07	16.5	15.6	0.90
Danny Green	62	61	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.08	-9	0	-9	14.9	16.5	-1.58	16.1	16.0	0.07
Tony Parker	76	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.19	-8	-1	-7	15.4	15.4	0.03	16.1	15.7	0.40
Kawhi Leonard	85	82	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	15.3	16.7	-1.42	15.9	18.1	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
BOS 101, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.2,0.21,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
PHX 102, SEA 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	95.1%