NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	99		Excitement	6.7 [490]		MVP	Hollis Thompson (PHI): +26.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	94		Comeback	1.2 [920]		LVP	Ish Smith (PHI): -22.7%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.1	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	16	51%	0.12	3	-0.02	3	67%	-0.04
Markieff Morris	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.00	-0.07	13	54%	0.07	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.03	0.04	8	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.04	-0.02	10	73%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	0%	-0.08
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	45%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	5	21%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
John Wall	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.17,-0.14	-0.23	-0.00	-0.09	17	38%	0.06	9	-0.20	8	100%	0.08

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,0.05,0.26	0.26	0.02	0.24	-0.00	15	47%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	4	33%	0.02	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sonny Weems	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	0.01	11	58%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.14,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	10	56%	0.06	2	-0.11	7	86%	0.11
TJ McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	6	50%	-0.06	3	-0.05	14	64%	-0.26
Ish Smith	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.15	0.02	25	40%	-0.21	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.3	27.3	14.8	24.2	2.4	43.2	136.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +33.8%

WAS +1.0%

WAS +24.6%

PHI -9.7%

WAS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	13.6	13.7	14.9	94.3	88.7	105.1
season	13.8	14.8		104.1	97.7
opponent	14.2	15.1		108.0	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	12.5	13.5	15.7	12.7	13.6
PHI	14.7	14.2	12.5	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Thornton	48	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.26	6	-1	7	12.5	14.5	-2.05	13.8	13.7	0.13
John Wall	81	82	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	1	3	13.7	13.2	0.47	13.2	15.4	-2.18
Garrett Temple	89	90	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.37	0	5	-5	13.6	13.2	0.45	13.7	14.1	-0.47
Marcin Gortat	75	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.26	3	2	1	13.9	12.7	1.17	13.3	14.7	-1.33
Otto Porter	74	75	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	5	-5	13.6	13.5	0.17	13.2	15.0	-1.85
Ramon Sessions	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	3	-1	13.4	13.7	-0.26	14.5	13.3	1.16
Markieff Morris	55	57	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.04	8	-3	11	14.0	13.1	0.94	13.5	14.0	-0.58
Nene	29	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.09	2	3	-1	13.2	13.7	-0.55	15.5	13.0	2.47
Jared Dudley	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.12	0	5	-5	13.7	13.5	0.13	15.1	13.1	2.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Marshall	22	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.30	10	-15	25	10.5	14.6	-4.13	13.9	13.5	0.38
Nerlens Noel	73	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.51	12	-17	29	13.7	13.7	-0.00	14.4	11.4	2.99
Isaiah Canaan	74	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.47	10	-15	25	13.4	14.4	-1.02	13.6	13.4	0.27
Jerami Grant	65	66	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-6	7	13.5	14.1	-0.57	14.0	12.9	1.11
Sonny Weems	34	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	15.1	13.1	1.96	13.5	13.6	-0.15
Carl Landry	25	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.15	-15	10	-25	15.0	13.3	1.61	11.3	14.2	-2.90
TJ McConnell	41	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.15	-15	10	-25	14.2	13.4	0.76	13.4	13.6	-0.19
Ish Smith	87	86	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.45	5	-10	15	13.4	15.2	-1.74	13.8	12.5	1.28
Nik Stauskas	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	9	-23	15.3	13.2	2.12	13.0	13.8	-0.84
Hollis Thompson	81	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	6	-17	13.7	13.8	-0.15	13.0	15.2	-2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.29,0.54,0.39,0.15,0.14,0.14,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 102, PHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.26,0.07,0.09,0.17,0	93.4%
MIA 98, ATL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.38,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	93.0%
PHI 110, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	92.3%