NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	113		Excitement	5.5 [674]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +8.4%
New York Knicks	107		Comeback	1.9 [310]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -14.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.05	-0.05	14	60%	0.14	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.00	0.03	-0.04	13	68%	0.13	4	-0.05	11	73%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	6	69%	0.13	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	12	65%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Earl Boykins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.03
Adonal Foyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.02	-0.02	25	60%	0.11	3	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.01	0.06	9	80%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	17	34%	-0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	0.05	10	46%	-0.07	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	18	33%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	27.6	16.4	26.5	2.5	33.1	130.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +77.7%

GSW +5.9%

NYK -12.0%

NYK -21.0%

NYK -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NYK	NBA	GSW	NYK	NBA
this game	13.0	13.9	15.5	105.6	100.0	101.6
season	14.6	15.6		105.3	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.0	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.1	15.1	13.0	11.4	13.0
NYK	13.1	16.8	14.7	11.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	42	42	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-6	18	13.8	12.5	1.37	16.1	12.5	3.55
Troy Murphy	100	100	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	4	-2	12.8	15.3	-2.45	13.5	19.4	-5.90
Bob Sura	48	49	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	3	0	12.8	13.2	-0.34	13.5	14.3	-0.79
Adonal Foyle	40	40	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	2	2	12.6	13.3	-0.68	14.1	13.8	0.29
Mike Dunleavy	31	30	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-1	8	14.4	12.4	1.91	16.2	13.0	3.17
Antawn Jamison	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-3	12	13.3	12.5	0.81	15.0	12.3	2.71
Jason Richardson	79	79	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.26	-3	9	-12	12.5	14.4	-1.84	12.9	16.7	-3.84
Erick Dampier	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	4	-2	13.3	12.6	0.68	13.8	14.1	-0.29
Gilbert Arenas	65	65	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.20	-6	12	-18	12.5	13.8	-1.37	12.5	16.1	-3.55

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	80	79	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.31	6	-12	18	13.0	16.7	-3.68	12.9	13.3	-0.44
Howard Eisley	62	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-5	4	13.9	14.0	-0.11	13.0	13.0	0.00
Othella Harrington	73	73	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-7	8	12.8	16.2	-3.40	12.3	14.6	-2.28
Allan Houston	87	87	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-9	12	13.2	16.9	-3.73	12.8	13.9	-1.11
Clar. Weatherspoon	34	34	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	1	-8	16.2	12.8	3.40	14.6	12.3	2.28
Charlie Ward	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	14.0	13.9	0.11	13.0	13.0	-0.00
Latrell Sprewell	75	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	0	-6	15.2	10.8	4.43	14.3	9.6	4.68
Michael Doleac	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.01	-12	6	-18	16.7	13.0	3.68	13.3	12.9	0.44
Shandon Anderson	52	50	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	3	-12	13.2	14.6	-1.45	11.3	14.5	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
DET 111, ORL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.18,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%
MIA 108, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%