NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	5.4 [777]		MVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): +16.3%
New Jersey Nets	82		Comeback	2.0 [303]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -27.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.04	15	88%	0.24	4	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.03	5	85%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Lamond Murray	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.06	6	87%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Rafael Araujo	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Morris Peterson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	14	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	10	57%	0.00	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.04
Matt Bonner	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	8	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	5	20%	-0.06	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.03	0.04	13	62%	0.02	5	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	0.03	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	6	6%	-0.18	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Vince Carter	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.25,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.08	-0.02	25	37%	-0.20	4	-0.08	10	60%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	29.2	16.5	23.5	1.6	26.2	125.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +54.0%

TOR +11.3%

NJN -8.6%

NJN -6.3%

NJN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	15.5	101.0	84.5	104.0
season	15.1	16.0		104.8	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.4		101.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.4	14.2	13.5	17.1	14.7
NJN	14.4	14.0	16.0	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	59	57	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-4	26	15.2	14.0	1.17	14.8	14.4	0.45
Jalen Rose	87	85	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.03	14	4	10	14.9	13.6	1.32	14.6	14.7	-0.03
Milt Palacio	41	41	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.16	17	1	16	15.5	14.2	1.26	14.7	14.6	0.16
Eric Williams	28	28	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.03	12	6	6	14.9	14.7	0.25	16.5	13.9	2.57
Chris Bosh	77	75	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	7	4	15.0	14.0	1.02	14.3	15.8	-1.47
Matt Bonner	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	13	-8	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.6	14.7	-0.07
Lamond Murray	16	16	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	10	-2	13.1	15.1	-2.01	16.4	14.3	2.08
Rafer Alston	68	66	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	14	-10	14.8	14.6	0.20	13.8	16.4	-2.62
Morris Peterson	57	55	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.13	-1	19	-20	14.3	15.4	-1.10	14.1	15.3	-1.14
Rafael Araujo	29	30	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.11	-2	20	-22	13.7	15.2	-1.45	15.2	14.4	0.76

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Planinic	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	8.7	14.9	-6.14	17.5	14.6	2.87
Billy Thomas	29	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.04	-2	-16	14	13.5	15.1	-1.65	15.0	14.7	0.31
Jacque Vaughn	63	65	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-15	12	14.2	15.4	-1.23	15.0	14.3	0.65
Jason Kidd	76	78	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-12	6	14.7	14.5	0.15	14.4	16.1	-1.77
Jabari Smith	49	50	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-13	8	14.8	14.5	0.28	15.2	14.3	0.91
Jason Collins	49	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-10	2	15.4	13.9	1.51	15.2	14.3	0.98
Clifford Robinson	51	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	0	-18	14.3	15.0	-0.64	14.1	15.4	-1.29
Travis Best	34	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	-3	-12	15.4	14.2	1.23	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Ron Mercer	47	50	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	-4	-10	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.2	15.3	-1.07
Vince Carter	83	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	0	-18	14.9	13.3	1.58	15.0	13.3	1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, CHI 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.31,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
GSW 113, NYK 107	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0	94.4%
CHH 86, ATL 70	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.29,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.19,0.2,0.33,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%