NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	4.7 [875]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +19.0%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	1.7 [621]		LVP	Channing Frye (ORL): -10.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.16	0.04	0.01	15	70%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.02	19	55%	0.13	3	-0.04	9	78%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	9	70%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.05
Jodie Meeks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.04	8	63%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	6	44%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Joel Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.03	2	60%	-0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.01	-0.09	20	24%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.14	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	18	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	64%	0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.05	18	54%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.4	2.6	26.2	16.5	29.2	1.8	28.0	123.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +2.4%

DET +6.2%

DET +7.8%

DET +33.8%

ORL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	ORL	NBA	DET	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.7	15.1	118.1	105.4	104.2
season	15.7	14.9		104.0	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.9	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.1	16.7	14.6	17.5	16.2
ORL	15.2	13.9	16.0	13.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	55	53	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-3	20	15.1	17.7	-2.60	15.9	13.2	2.69
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	76	74	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	5	4	16.0	17.2	-1.17	14.8	14.5	0.28
Anthony Tolliver	63	60	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.11	8	6	2	15.8	17.2	-1.40	14.9	14.4	0.54
Caron Butler	36	36	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	16.4	16.1	0.36	16.1	13.9	2.23
Reggie Jackson	61	59	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.19	5	9	-4	15.7	17.1	-1.38	14.7	14.7	0.00
Jodie Meeks	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	3	8	15.8	16.6	-0.80	14.5	14.9	-0.36
Spencer Dinwiddie	33	33	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.10	9	5	4	17.1	15.7	1.38	14.7	14.7	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	52	51	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	12	-10	17.0	15.2	1.82	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Shawne Williams	11	12	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	13	-12	17.5	16.0	1.50	13.2	15.0	-1.80
Joel Anthony	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	17	-20	17.7	15.1	2.60	13.2	15.9	-2.69

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-12	10	14.0	14.8	-0.84	15.7	16.3	-0.62
Channing Frye	19	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-9	4	13.6	15.0	-1.45	16.8	16.1	0.71
Andrew Nicholson	50	52	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-12	10	14.9	14.5	0.46	16.8	15.5	1.39
Aaron Gordon	28	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	15.1	14.6	0.54	14.7	16.9	-2.27
Luke Ridnour	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-7	0	13.6	15.4	-1.87	15.5	16.7	-1.22
Tobias Harris	68	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	14.9	14.2	0.65	17.0	14.2	2.76
Elfrid Payton	73	73	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-5	-4	14.9	13.9	1.05	17.0	13.5	3.54
Nikola Vucevic	64	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-8	2	14.7	14.9	-0.19	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Victor Oladipo	68	70	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-6	-2	15.0	14.0	1.04	16.0	16.7	-0.71
Willie Green	43	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	1	-16	14.9	14.6	0.34	15.3	17.1	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.18,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 108, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
TOR 94, NOK 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
PHX 127, LAC 101	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%