inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement8.6 [161] MVPChris Whitney (WAS): +45.1%
Golden State Warriors 96 Comeback17.4 [63] LVPErick Dampier (GSW): -26.7%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Whitney0.450,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.450.090.380.021462%0.4500.004100%0.05
Popeye Jones0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.110.020.06-0.03760%0.1100.00667%0.00
Tyrone Nesby0.080,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.010.02883%0.111-0.032100%0.01
Etan Thomas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00250%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Christian Laettner-0.020,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.020.00262%0.032-0.06475%-0.01
Brendan Haywood-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.01450%-0.0200.00250%-0.02
Jahidi White-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Courtney Alexander-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.040.00856%0.001-0.042100%0.01
Kwame Brown-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.00847%-0.031-0.0310%-0.01
Tyronn Lue-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.00729%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.120,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.12-0.10-0.04-0.011939%-0.091-0.04683%0.02

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.030.030.010.020.001152%0.071-0.041100%0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.020.020.01-0.04-0.051658%0.103-0.08475%-0.05
Troy Murphy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.02-0.00757%0.031-0.0400%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,-0.08-0.080.13-0.190.011281%0.202-0.28771%-0.02
Adonal Foyle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.0010%-0.0900.0020%-0.06
Bob Sura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.03-0.02437%-0.042-0.08850%-0.05
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.13-0.100.021543%-0.134-0.12771%-0.01
Erick Dampier0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27-0.27-0.09-0.19-0.01833%-0.192-0.082100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.91.729.617.424.52.337.9136.3
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +31.3%
WAS +19.1%
GSW -48.4%
WAS +50.6%
GSW -2.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASGSWNBAWASGSWNBA
this game16.615.915.6111.2109.1102.3
season16.514.7102.2100.7
opponent15.115.3106.2103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS19.115.216.316.216.6
GSW15.215.515.018.115.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Popeye Jones34330.81-0.311.130.4911-81916.516.7-0.2618.414.43.98
Richard Hamilton72710.53-0.030.550.5303-316.616.60.0516.214.81.35
Christian Laettner63600.50-0.000.510.5003-316.317.5-1.2815.017.9-2.91
Chris Whitney60600.390.110.280.3321116.417.0-0.5515.716.2-0.50
Tyronn Lue28290.310.190.120.194-1517.616.21.3715.915.9-0.02
Tyrone Nesby56560.160.34-0.190.015-2717.215.61.6717.113.83.25
Courtney Alexander51480.120.38-0.260.18-25-715.618.0-2.3514.417.8-3.42
Kwame Brown28290.020.48-0.45-0.156-3917.716.11.5816.415.70.70
Etan Thomas87-0.010.51-0.51-0.0721113.117.0-3.8516.015.90.10
Jahidi White2121-0.140.64-0.780.10-811-1915.616.9-1.3213.716.6-2.88
Brendan Haywood2426-0.190.69-0.89-0.05-58-1318.615.92.7316.115.80.29

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Murphy48500.36-0.861.22-0.1116-193514.317.8-3.5118.114.83.31
Adonal Foyle25230.15-0.650.800.21-2-1-117.015.51.5817.916.21.67
Bob Sura3434-0.02-0.480.450.12-52-717.015.21.8318.115.72.46
Larry Hughes1415-0.22-0.280.070.08-107-1715.616.0-0.3216.116.7-0.68
Gilbert Arenas6665-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.494-71115.716.7-1.0315.918.6-2.73
Jason Richardson7676-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.452-5715.716.9-1.1716.318.3-1.97
Erick Dampier6264-0.530.03-0.57-0.561-4515.317.3-1.9316.018.3-2.35
Antawn Jamison6972-0.660.16-0.81-0.57-30-315.816.2-0.3816.716.10.63
Chris Mills4646-0.810.31-1.12-0.28-1815-3317.713.93.8315.717.6-1.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.83,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 111, MIA 1100.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.95,093.2%
UTA 100, MEM 970.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.84,091.7%
MIA 95, WAS 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.64,0.58,0.7,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.83,091.1%