NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	111		Excitement	8.4 [205]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +113.8%
Miami Heat	110		Comeback	475.2 [2]		LVP	Kelly Olynyk (BOS): -13.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	1.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,1.14	0.16	0.95	-0.02	16	65%	1.14	0	0.00	5	60%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22	0.08	0.11	-0.02	14	61%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitor Faverani	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	9	60%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	10	75%	0.08	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	5	60%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	9	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.14	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	9	39%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.16	0.02	13	71%	0.40	5	-0.18	9	78%	0.01
Chris Bosh	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.05	0.02	12	62%	0.16	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.09	0.00	14	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.02
Norris Cole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	4	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	4	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	4	40%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	30.1	16.5	22.7	2.4	36.2	137.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +43.6%

MIA -13.9%

BOS +28.6%

MIA -7.6%

MIA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIA	NBA	BOS	MIA	NBA
this game	16.3	14.8	15.1	120.7	118.3	105.2
season	15.4	15.6		101.2	109.7
opponent	15.8	15.0		105.1	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.3	14.4	16.3	18.9	16.3
MIA	15.0	13.9	15.7	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	68	70	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.38	11	-10	21	17.0	14.5	2.54	15.0	14.3	0.72
Jordan Crawford	52	52	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.65	0	1	-1	17.3	15.1	2.19	15.0	14.6	0.40
Avery Bradley	57	58	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.68	-3	4	-7	16.3	16.4	-0.15	14.7	15.0	-0.36
Gerald Wallace	60	58	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.59	-1	2	-3	15.8	17.3	-1.45	14.8	14.7	0.10
Kelly Olynyk	42	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.55	-4	5	-9	17.5	15.3	2.18	14.8	14.8	0.03
Vitor Faverani	6	5	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	-7	15	15.7	16.4	-0.72	13.4	14.9	-1.49
Kris Humphries	39	38	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.12	7	-6	13	14.1	18.0	-3.83	14.7	14.9	-0.25
Brandon Bass	27	27	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	8	-15	17.9	15.7	2.14	15.3	14.6	0.74
Phil Pressey	41	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.22	4	-3	7	15.2	17.2	-2.02	14.2	15.3	-1.04
Jared Sullinger	46	46	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.15	-3	4	-7	15.7	17.0	-1.28	15.0	14.7	0.30
Courtney Lee	22	24	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.09	-7	8	-15	17.0	16.1	0.81	14.7	14.8	-0.08

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	52	51	0.48	-0.98	1.47	0.10	13	-14	27	14.9	14.7	0.26	16.9	15.7	1.22
Ray Allen	47	46	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.33	-6	5	-11	15.6	14.0	1.55	15.8	16.9	-1.11
Norris Cole	36	36	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.28	-8	7	-15	15.4	14.4	0.95	16.4	16.3	0.18
Michael Beasley	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.04	-1	0	-1	14.3	14.9	-0.63	14.9	16.7	-1.71
Rashard Lewis	27	29	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.15	-7	6	-13	14.4	15.0	-0.51	14.8	17.0	-2.20
LeBron James	69	69	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.62	5	-6	11	14.9	14.5	0.36	16.8	15.0	1.84
Chris Bosh	61	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.66	5	-6	11	14.8	14.7	0.09	16.8	15.4	1.42
Mario Chalmers	57	56	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.75	7	-8	15	14.4	15.4	-0.95	16.3	16.4	-0.18
Dwyane Wade	66	64	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.53	-4	3	-7	14.6	15.4	-0.79	16.9	15.1	1.72
Chris Andersen	33	33	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.70	-9	8	-17	14.3	15.1	-0.78	15.4	16.8	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.95,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, GSW 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.83,0	93.2%
UTA 100, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.84,0	91.4%
MIL 87, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.72,0.86,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.78,0.57,0.84,0	91.4%