NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	100		Excitement	8.4 [209]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +25.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	97		Comeback	7.5 [220]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -24.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.07,0.25	0.05	0.26	0.05	14	56%	0.27	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	6	83%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	55%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.12	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	-0.02	14	52%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Matt Harpring	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Carlos Boozer	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.24,-0.24	-0.05	-0.16	0.04	17	52%	-0.01	5	-0.23	12	83%	0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.01	20	67%	0.28	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	3	67%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	3	71%	0.17	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.09
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Alexander Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	1	60%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	10	64%	0.13	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.14	0.01	6	86%	-0.00	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.24	-0.24	-0.01	-0.25	-0.01	4	40%	-0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.3	28.0	15.0	25.2	2.7	34.8	137.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.5%

MEM -13.9%

UTA +28.7%

UTA +19.5%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MEM	NBA	UTA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.5	16.1	15.4	108.7	107.8	104.5
season	15.9	15.1		107.4	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		110.1	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.5	16.5	12.8	16.5	15.5
MEM	16.2	14.1	17.2	17.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	72	72	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-4	11	15.6	15.4	0.11	16.8	13.2	3.63
Derek Fisher	68	68	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.53	3	0	3	15.4	16.0	-0.63	16.9	13.6	3.35
Mehmet Okur	59	60	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.47	-1	4	-5	15.6	15.4	0.26	17.3	13.8	3.43
Andrei Kirilenko	56	55	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	8	-13	14.9	16.6	-1.68	16.9	14.9	2.07
Deron Williams	67	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.44	-6	9	-15	15.0	16.9	-1.85	16.3	15.5	0.81
Matt Harpring	53	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.11	9	-6	15	15.8	15.2	0.66	14.2	18.4	-4.17
Jarron Collins	26	24	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.02	5	-2	7	16.0	15.3	0.71	14.0	16.9	-2.89
Ronnie Brewer	46	43	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.17	5	-2	7	16.3	14.7	1.63	14.4	17.7	-3.22
Paul Millsap	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	16.2	15.4	0.81	14.6	16.4	-1.78

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakim Warrick	53	53	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.33	0	-3	3	15.3	17.3	-1.95	16.7	13.9	2.75
Eddie Jones	28	29	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.19	2	-5	7	13.6	17.2	-3.60	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Rudy Gay	38	39	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-7	11	13.1	18.3	-5.22	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Chucky Atkins	40	41	0.09	-0.58	0.67	0.06	1	-4	5	13.5	18.2	-4.67	15.2	15.8	-0.52
Jake Tsakalidis	1	2	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-1	-1	17.0	16.1	0.89	16.0	15.5	0.48
Alexander Johnson	31	32	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-3	3	19.2	14.5	4.73	16.1	15.2	0.91
Brian Cardinal	11	13	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	3	-9	11.8	16.7	-4.90	11.5	16.2	-4.65
Mike Miller	79	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-2	1	16.3	14.7	1.59	15.8	13.9	1.89
Damon Stoudamire	50	51	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	1	-5	18.2	13.5	4.67	15.8	15.2	0.52
Dahntay Jones	73	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.49	-7	4	-11	16.9	12.9	3.92	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Pau Gasol	46	45	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.68	-2	-1	-1	18.5	13.7	4.77	15.2	15.9	-0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.84,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, GSW 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.83,0	91.7%
BOS 111, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.95,0	91.4%
NJN 96, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.38,0.44,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.74,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.79,0.77,0.85,0	91.2%