inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 88 Excitement3.1 [1129] MVPAntawn Jamison (GSW): +10.1%
San Antonio Spurs 109 Comeback1.7 [1186] LVPGilbert Arenas (GSW): -12.3%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antawn Jamison0.100,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.13-0.000.031867%0.121-0.0200%0.00
Larry Hughes0.000,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.001359%0.042-0.04875%-0.00
Cedric Henderson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.070.000.072117%0.0000.00250%0.00
Dean Oliver0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03425%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Bob Sura-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.00-0.0340%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02825%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.00430%-0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Danny Fortson-0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.000.031443%-0.062-0.03250%-0.01
Adonal Foyle-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.03640%-0.024-0.07367%0.00
Gilbert Arenas-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.14-0.01-0.031228%-0.083-0.0510%-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.01-0.03868%0.091-0.003100%0.00
Tim Duncan0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.030.022152%0.051-0.02250%-0.01
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.03692%0.072-0.0300%0.00
Steven Smith0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01770%0.021-0.00989%0.01
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.00-0.03667%0.0230.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00757%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Charles Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.01944%-0.0000.0000%0.00
David Robinson0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.070.00-0.031242%-0.021-0.02771%0.00
Danny Ferry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.04437%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.21.626.917.325.41.825.0124.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +31.5%
SAS +8.2%
GSW -4.1%
SAS +17.3%
GSW -2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWSASNBAGSWSASNBA
this game14.314.515.687.1110.1102.3
season14.715.8100.7104.3
opponent15.715.198.0106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW13.115.015.713.214.3
SAS14.112.114.318.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cedric Henderson890.00-0.500.50-0.062-23259.614.7-5.0316.314.41.97
Dean Oliver12120.00-0.500.500.000-212110.714.7-3.9815.314.40.90
Dean Garrett12120.00-0.500.500.000-212110.714.7-3.9815.314.40.90
Erick Dampier4546-0.16-0.340.180.14-10-11115.513.22.3015.413.81.54
Larry Hughes6766-0.23-0.270.030.06-10-11114.913.01.9014.315.0-0.64
Danny Fortson6361-0.24-0.260.03-0.00-8-13514.214.3-0.0514.514.6-0.01
Troy Murphy4544-0.27-0.23-0.050.11-13-8-514.514.00.5015.014.20.74
Gilbert Arenas7676-0.30-0.20-0.110.02-11-10-114.613.11.5115.710.65.18
Adonal Foyle6359-0.39-0.11-0.280.05-15-6-914.014.7-0.6414.015.3-1.31
Antawn Jamison6766-0.44-0.06-0.390.11-19-2-1714.613.51.1413.816.1-2.27
Bob Sura4744-0.46-0.04-0.420.15-210-2113.614.8-1.1612.616.1-3.56

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan73740.410.090.33-0.081741314.115.7-1.5614.713.01.72
Antonio Daniels35370.360.140.22-0.171831514.314.7-0.3615.613.52.11
David Robinson56570.340.160.17-0.10156913.615.7-2.1215.912.13.76
Danny Ferry42420.330.170.15-0.171741314.014.9-0.8613.215.0-1.83
Tony Parker62610.290.210.080.08714-715.013.81.2213.815.0-1.19
Malik Rose35390.250.250.01-0.19156914.114.8-0.6213.914.5-0.59
Terry Porter34360.180.32-0.14-0.23147713.615.0-1.4614.414.20.29
Bruce Bowen57590.170.33-0.150.06417-1314.914.00.8615.013.21.83
Steven Smith54550.170.33-0.160.02516-1114.414.7-0.2614.813.71.11
Charles Smith13130.000.50-0.500.06-223-2516.014.31.6710.014.9-4.89
Cherokee Parks14130.000.50-0.500.12-425-2916.614.22.3610.014.9-4.89
Mark Bryant2019-0.000.50-0.510.03-122-2317.913.74.2011.215.0-3.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 87, TOR 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.6%
CHI 104, TOR 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,196.5%
IND 86, ORL 970.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%