NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	3.4 [1130]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +12.2%
Toronto Raptors	94		Comeback	1.9 [1029]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (MEM): -10.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	11	73%	0.09	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	52%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	51%	0.01	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.01
Rudy Gay	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	-0.01	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Junior Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	8	18%	-0.06	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.01	-0.03	13	62%	0.13	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Joey Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.03	9	77%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	4	110%	0.07	7	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Uros Slokar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	17	53%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jorge Garbajosa	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	25.2	16.3	29.6	2.4	27.6	125.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.6%

TOR +9.0%

MEM -2.1%

TOR +17.0%

MEM -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.4	93.5	100.0	104.5
season	15.1	15.2		105.1	104.7
opponent	15.4	15.1		104.1	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.3	17.2	16.1	13.2	15.9
TOR	14.6	14.9	13.3	16.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lawrence Roberts	31	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-9	11	16.1	15.8	0.24	16.0	14.4	1.61
Dahntay Jones	13	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.51	16	-23	39	13.9	16.2	-2.30	17.4	14.5	2.97
Scott Padgett	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.9	-0.26	15.4	14.8	0.55
Mike Miller	57	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	1	-9	16.3	15.2	1.07	14.8	15.1	-0.38
Stromile Swift	10	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	4	-15	17.1	15.8	1.34	11.3	15.3	-3.95
Junior Harrington	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.45	7	-14	21	16.7	15.4	1.32	13.6	15.8	-2.18
Pau Gasol	61	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.13	-13	6	-19	16.3	15.1	1.19	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Damon Stoudamire	55	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	7	-21	15.4	16.7	-1.32	15.8	13.6	2.18
Hakim Warrick	45	44	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-6	5	15.2	16.6	-1.36	15.4	14.5	0.91
Rudy Gay	78	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-8	9	15.9	16.0	-0.12	15.1	13.8	1.32
Tarence Kinsey	61	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	1	-9	15.9	16.0	-0.15	14.4	15.9	-1.52

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-1	9	14.6	15.8	-1.27	16.1	15.3	0.77
Joey Graham	53	52	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-2	11	13.7	16.4	-2.68	15.1	17.0	-1.92
Juan Dixon	61	62	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.09	8	-1	9	14.5	15.7	-1.17	17.0	13.6	3.39
Jose Calderon	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	6	-5	14.6	15.3	-0.78	15.4	16.5	-1.13
T.J. Ford	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	1	5	15.3	14.6	0.78	16.5	15.4	1.13
Chris Bosh	59	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	-4	15	15.2	14.4	0.76	16.0	15.7	0.37
Morris Peterson	41	40	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	8	-9	15.8	14.2	1.51	14.6	16.9	-2.29
Kris Humphries	18	16	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	8	-9	15.1	14.9	0.26	15.9	15.9	0.04
Rasho Nesterovic	39	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.6	15.4	1.27
Jorge Garbajosa	32	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.06	0	7	-7	16.2	14.2	1.99	15.9	15.9	-0.00
Uros Slokar	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	15	-23	20.0	14.7	5.32	9.7	16.2	-6.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
SAS 80, DET 102	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
LAC 107, DEN 123	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%