NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	80		Excitement	3.0 [1151]		MVP	Lindsey Hunter (DET): +6.5%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	1.8 [321]		LVP	Avery Johnson (SAS): -10.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Brown	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	8	76%	0.07	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Terry Porter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Robinson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	87%	-0.00
Malik Rose	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	60%	-0.01	3	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	12	50%	0.01	6	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Steve Kerr	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Avery Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	14	67%	0.09	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	20	56%	0.05	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Crotty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	3	80%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	7	47%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.02	-0.07	17	52%	0.05	7	-0.08	6	83%	-0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	6	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	30.4	15.4	26.7	0.2	34.0	132.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.4%

SAS -6.0%

DET +11.0%

DET +8.9%

DET +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	14.0	15.2	80.8	104.1	101.7
season	15.5	14.1		101.6	104.2
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.0	95.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.3	17.2	16.8	12.8	15.2
DET	12.8	14.1	13.2	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Daniels	45	44	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-23	24	13.4	16.7	-3.32	15.8	12.6	3.26
Felton Spencer	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-24	26	10.2	16.0	-5.82	14.1	14.0	0.07
Malik Rose	44	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-15	8	14.3	15.9	-1.57	15.1	13.1	2.03
Chucky Brown	51	49	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-23	24	15.4	15.0	0.45	13.7	14.3	-0.61
Steve Kerr	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-16	10	12.8	16.1	-3.35	13.0	14.4	-1.39
Jaren Jackson	39	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.26	-14	-8	-6	14.3	15.8	-1.53	14.9	13.4	1.57
Terry Porter	43	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.24	-18	-4	-14	15.2	15.2	-0.05	14.8	13.4	1.34
Avery Johnson	38	39	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-8	-6	17.1	14.1	2.99	12.4	15.1	-2.72
Mario Elie	56	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-8	-6	16.7	13.2	3.54	13.4	14.8	-1.34
David Robinson	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-4	-14	16.0	14.1	1.94	13.2	15.2	-2.02
Tim Duncan	82	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.20	-23	1	-24	16.1	10.8	5.30	13.9	14.7	-0.86

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	66	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	5	12	13.4	15.2	-1.78	16.8	12.1	4.64
Jerome Williams	50	51	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.15	19	3	16	14.6	13.4	1.18	16.0	14.4	1.67
Jerry Stackhouse	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.01	13	9	4	13.9	14.3	-0.43	15.7	13.5	2.26
Don Reid	23	21	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	9	4	13.9	14.1	-0.20	17.1	14.7	2.39
Lindsey Hunter	68	69	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.11	13	9	4	13.8	14.5	-0.64	15.8	13.9	1.93
John Crotty	27	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	10	2	15.0	13.6	1.35	13.7	15.8	-2.14
Michael Curry	46	47	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	13	-4	14.9	13.2	1.72	13.3	17.0	-3.68
Terry Mills	66	69	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.11	9	13	-4	14.2	13.7	0.40	15.1	15.4	-0.27
Christian Laettner	40	41	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.01	3	19	-16	13.2	14.6	-1.39	15.1	15.3	-0.11
Jud Buechler	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	20	-18	13.2	14.1	-0.88	10.8	15.8	-4.94
Eric Montross	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	13.4	14.1	-0.63	11.4	15.6	-4.14
Loy Vaught	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	22	-22	14.5	14.0	0.52	9.7	15.6	-5.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 86, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DAL 98, LAC 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%