inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 86 Excitement3.0 [1199] MVPJJ Redick (ORL): +11.9%
Orlando Magic 97 Comeback1.8 [468] LVPIan Mahinmi (IND): -7.0%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul George0.050,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.070.000.021457%0.071-0.027100%0.02
Jeff Ayres-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.011142%-0.0000.002100%-0.00
Roy Hibbert-0.010,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01769%0.064-0.06250%-0.01
D.J. Augustin-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.00-0.0530%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Orlando Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Tyler Hansbrough-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.05-0.000.08859%-0.0300.0010%0.00
George Hill-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.00-0.010.021647%-0.031-0.0100%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.000.01650%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
David West-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.050.000.021547%-0.023-0.0500%0.00
Ian Mahinmi-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0000%0.003-0.0700%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.010.03887%0.1200.0000%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.001357%0.0600.002100%0.01
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.00-0.01664%0.061-0.012100%0.01
Glen Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.04-0.01-0.081438%0.031-0.001100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.05-0.000.031258%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Josh McRoberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03850%0.032-0.0100%0.00
DeQuan Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.00-0.00-0.01367%0.011-0.0000%0.00
Maurice Harkless0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ish Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Andrew Nicholson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.080.00-0.06825%-0.0210.0000%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.020.000.021358%0.024-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.72.424.415.725.71.827.4119.1
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +36.0%
ORL +1.1%
IND -1.1%
ORL +13.9%
ORL +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game15.216.315.493.5106.6104.1
season16.115.5102.4100.3
opponent15.315.5107.799.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND14.716.116.313.915.2
ORL16.017.415.716.216.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Ayres1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.248-192711.915.7-3.8116.816.20.56
Roy Hibbert4244-0.12-0.380.27-0.03-3-8514.815.5-0.7116.516.10.46
Orlando Johnson2223-0.17-0.330.16-0.232-131514.515.4-0.8516.216.3-0.09
David West5859-0.19-0.310.12-0.10-3-8515.714.31.4316.416.20.20
D.J. Augustin3534-0.22-0.280.05-0.251-121315.515.00.5116.416.20.15
Lance Stephenson5455-0.23-0.270.040.09-110-1115.414.90.4716.516.00.43
Ian Mahinmi3129-0.25-0.250.010.02-9-2-715.714.90.8216.316.3-0.01
George Hill6766-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.06-7-4-315.314.90.3816.116.9-0.82
Gerald Green2827-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.13-5-6114.215.6-1.4616.416.20.12
Paul George7068-0.33-0.17-0.160.05-132-1515.414.50.8516.316.20.09
Tyler Hansbrough4037-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.01-154-1915.515.00.4915.716.7-0.94

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick51550.470.030.44-0.0016-52116.815.61.2216.513.33.18
E'Twaun Moore42430.460.040.420.141101115.117.3-2.2115.514.90.59
Josh McRoberts35340.400.100.300.0213-21516.716.10.6016.414.51.88
Nikola Vucevic65640.290.210.08-0.00101916.216.5-0.3516.013.42.59
Arron Afflalo64640.230.27-0.04-0.0083516.515.80.7216.212.93.36
Jameer Nelson62630.210.29-0.08-0.111101117.214.42.7515.215.10.13
Glen Davis47500.180.32-0.14-0.0374316.915.61.3515.015.4-0.38
DeQuan Jones47440.130.37-0.240.28-516-2115.916.7-0.9012.717.5-4.77
Andrew Nicholson23240.130.37-0.240.0147-316.816.10.6615.415.10.24
Maurice Harkless77-0.000.50-0.500.23-819-2712.716.6-3.879.115.7-6.55
Kyle O'Quinn77-0.000.50-0.500.23-819-2712.716.6-3.879.115.7-6.55
Ish Smith55-0.000.50-0.500.12-415-1911.616.6-4.966.415.7-9.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 95, SAS 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,196.5%
MEM 87, TOR 940.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.3%
CHI 104, TOR 1170.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%