NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	104		Excitement	3.2 [1115]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +15.0%
Toronto Raptors	117		Comeback	2.0 [938]		LVP	Eric Montross (TOR): -6.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	73%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eddy Curry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Norman Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.09	-0.00	-0.07	8	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0.03	10	45%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	23	58%	0.02	6	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	10	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	10	40%	-0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.01	-0.05	19	59%	0.15	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	7	93%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	11	72%	0.10	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	15	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Dial	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.02	4	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.0	29.0	16.6	24.0	2.5	30.3	131.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +36.5%

CHI -3.2%

TOR +9.7%

TOR +4.8%

TOR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	TOR	NBA	CHI	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	15.9	15.6	109.5	120.6	102.3
season	15.6	16.2		96.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.9	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.5	14.9	14.6	14.4	14.0
TOR	15.2	17.0	13.7	18.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddy Curry	34	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-15	17	12.6	14.8	-2.17	17.1	15.3	1.78
Tyson Chandler	51	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	13.5	14.6	-1.11	16.9	14.7	2.27
Travis Best	51	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-6	-1	13.0	15.3	-2.33	15.8	16.2	-0.40
Dalibor Bagaric	40	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.22	3	-16	19	14.6	13.7	0.92	16.1	15.8	0.32
Norman Richardson	19	19	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.00	-7	-6	-1	15.1	13.8	1.26	15.8	16.0	-0.12
Eddie Robinson	72	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-10	7	13.8	14.9	-1.15	16.3	14.7	1.69
Fred Hoiberg	31	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	13.9	14.1	-0.21	14.4	16.7	-2.33
Jalen Rose	68	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-4	-5	14.1	13.9	0.27	16.2	15.1	1.09
Charles Oakley	21	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	5	-23	15.3	13.7	1.60	13.7	16.6	-2.84
Jamal Crawford	44	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-7	1	15.3	13.0	2.33	16.2	15.8	0.40
Marcus Fizer	44	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	2	-17	14.6	13.5	1.11	14.7	16.9	-2.27

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antonio Davis	81	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-5	23	15.8	16.6	-0.75	13.6	16.2	-2.67
Alvin Williams	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-6	25	15.6	16.9	-1.34	13.9	14.4	-0.47
Keon Clark	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	2	9	16.1	15.8	0.33	14.9	13.1	1.77
Jerome Williams	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-4	21	16.4	15.1	1.26	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Morris Peterson	80	78	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	9	-5	15.5	17.8	-2.29	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Chris Childs	47	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	10	-7	16.1	15.7	0.41	14.5	13.6	0.89
Hakeem Olajuwon	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	16	-19	16.3	15.7	0.66	14.3	13.8	0.50
Jermaine Jackson	15	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.02	2	11	-9	17.5	15.6	1.89	13.9	14.1	-0.14
Eric Montross	27	26	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	13	-13	15.4	16.1	-0.68	13.4	14.3	-0.85
Derrick Dial	15	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.16	-6	19	-25	15.8	16.0	-0.16	14.3	14.0	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 88, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 86, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
NOP 95, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,1,1,1	96.1%