inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 85 Excitement1.2 [1048] MVPKobe Bryant (LAL): +17.5%
Los Angeles Lakers 101 Comeback1.6 [1185] LVPDanny Fortson (GSW): -13.4%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Richardson0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.011067%0.062-0.04475%-0.02
Chris Mills0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.03475%0.063-0.0400%0.00
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.021348%0.033-0.08560%-0.02
Larry Hughes-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.05936%-0.032-0.03450%-0.01
Bob Sura-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.03844%-0.033-0.0320%-0.04
Mookie Blaylock-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.01-0.0450%-0.071-0.0100%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.011241%-0.041-0.04580%0.00
Troy Murphy-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.000.04653%-0.061-0.02757%-0.01
Danny Fortson-0.130,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.10-0.04-0.001042%-0.063-0.08450%0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kobe Bryant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.170.030.021285%0.191-0.01989%0.02
Samaki Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00653%0.0200.00367%-0.00
Brian Shaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.063100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01150%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.011146%-0.0100.00683%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01540%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.02-0.011753%0.032-0.05450%-0.03
Mitch Richmond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.01-0.02443%-0.021-0.01667%-0.01
Rick Fox0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00844%-0.001-0.03250%-0.02
Derek Fisher0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.13-0.02-0.011020%-0.082-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.31.727.317.727.22.632.5135.2
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +16.9%
LAL +13.2%
GSW -0.5%
LAL +17.8%
LAL +2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWLALNBAGSWLALNBA
this game15.014.415.685.9104.1102.3
season14.715.3100.7106.9
opponent15.415.199.8106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW15.415.314.515.015.0
LAL14.614.112.716.314.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Troy Murphy4341-0.02-0.480.450.04-2-141214.615.3-0.7216.712.74.05
Chris Mills4644-0.07-0.430.35-0.04-1-151415.214.90.2714.314.4-0.06
Mookie Blaylock2929-0.13-0.370.240.11-8-8015.914.61.2516.813.33.45
Bob Sura4947-0.21-0.290.080.03-8-8014.415.6-1.2313.715.0-1.38
Jason Richardson5959-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.07-8-8014.515.8-1.2814.614.00.57
Erick Dampier6564-0.31-0.19-0.110.08-13-3-1014.715.6-0.8414.414.4-0.03
Larry Hughes7068-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.14-8-8014.615.9-1.2513.316.8-3.45
Antawn Jamison6867-0.510.01-0.53-0.05-160-1615.713.52.2713.915.3-1.39
Danny Fortson6666-0.570.07-0.64-0.10-160-1615.713.71.9213.715.8-2.11

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rick Fox51520.62-0.120.730.0320-42412.516.4-3.9215.314.70.63
Shaquille O'Neal79790.56-0.060.62-0.0320-42414.414.20.2515.911.54.34
Kobe Bryant66670.450.050.410.071331013.616.1-2.4915.114.90.15
Derek Fisher47460.320.180.140.03106413.914.8-0.8915.514.60.96
Mitch Richmond32320.240.26-0.02-0.11124814.514.30.1516.214.51.69
Robert Horry38390.180.32-0.14-0.0897215.313.81.4715.714.51.17
Devean George59610.110.39-0.280.05214-1214.713.80.9614.615.6-0.97
Samaki Walker36360.070.43-0.360.07016-1615.213.91.3515.414.80.55
Mark Madsen9100.020.48-0.470.02016-1614.914.30.5711.715.4-3.68
Brian Shaw11120.000.50-0.500.03-117-1816.114.21.9412.615.3-2.76
Lindsey Hunter3941-0.010.51-0.510.02-117-1815.813.42.3814.215.6-1.43
Slava Medvedenko1820-0.060.56-0.620.06-420-2414.214.4-0.2511.515.9-4.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.8,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 80, UTA 1040.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.79,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,194.7%
DAL 79, SAS 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,194.7%
SAS 89, CLE 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.62,0.65,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.98,1,1,0.99,194.6%