NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	79		Excitement	4.9 [810]		MVP	David Robinson (SAS): +5.0%
San Antonio Spurs	91		Comeback	1.3 [956]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -15.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eduardo Najera	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	16	57%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Wang Zhi-zhi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vernon Maxwell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	17	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Finley	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.01	-0.05	0.09	19	56%	-0.06	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Robinson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	18	72%	0.11	3	-0.06	11	55%	-0.06
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	18	53%	-0.00	2	-0.03	11	64%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.19	0.03	-0.03	15	20%	-0.05	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.4	28.4	16.8	24.0	1.8	33.0	132.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +40.6%

DAL -6.2%

SAS +5.0%

SAS +10.1%

SAS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	14.1	16.2	15.5	84.0	94.8	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		104.6	103.4
opponent	15.5	15.3		96.5	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	13.6	13.9	12.7	14.1
SAS	14.9	15.8	15.5	18.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	57	59	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-15	18	14.0	14.3	-0.28	16.8	15.1	1.72
Eduardo Najera	11	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-13	14	12.5	14.3	-1.79	14.7	16.4	-1.62
Howard Eisley	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-8	4	13.0	14.7	-1.76	17.2	15.7	1.50
Vernon Maxwell	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-9	6	13.1	14.3	-1.16	19.4	15.7	3.72
Wang Zhi-zhi	6	6	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.07	-11	-1	-10	14.5	14.1	0.40	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Shawn Bradley	62	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-6	0	14.6	13.3	1.28	16.5	15.6	0.93
Juwan Howard	73	76	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-9	6	14.3	13.7	0.59	15.8	17.6	-1.81
Steve Nash	56	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	0	-12	14.9	13.0	1.94	15.5	17.1	-1.62
Michael Finley	84	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.2	13.9	0.25	15.5	22.0	-6.51
Dirk Nowitzki	75	78	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.17	-12	0	-12	14.0	14.7	-0.70	16.3	15.5	0.82

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Porter	61	61	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-3	18	15.4	17.5	-2.12	13.9	14.5	-0.55
David Robinson	69	69	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	16.1	16.2	-0.08	14.1	14.3	-0.21
Derek Anderson	75	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-2	16	15.3	19.4	-4.11	14.5	12.6	1.94
Tim Duncan	78	77	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.08	10	2	8	15.4	19.6	-4.24	14.6	11.8	2.88
Malik Rose	16	16	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	3	6	20.2	15.3	4.90	11.1	14.7	-3.62
Danny Ferry	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	11	-10	15.8	16.8	-1.01	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Sean Elliott	37	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.06	7	5	2	17.2	15.5	1.62	13.4	14.6	-1.11
Samaki Walker	39	35	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	15	-18	17.6	15.2	2.44	14.7	13.8	0.84
Antonio Daniels	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	14	-16	15.8	16.2	-0.37	13.3	14.2	-0.91
Avery Johnson	35	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	15	-18	17.5	15.4	2.12	14.5	13.9	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 74, CHA 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
UTA 77, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
NYK 88, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%