NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	77		Excitement	4.5 [915]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): +10.7%
Orlando Magic	90		Comeback	1.4 [912]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -17.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	8	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Arroyo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Jarron Collins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	4	0%	-0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.01	0.04	9	33%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.17	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.03	0.01	18	32%	-0.15	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	31	56%	0.11	1	-0.01	15	93%	0.06
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	71%	0.10	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	9	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	27.3	16.5	29.2	2.7	28.2	130.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +37.9%

ORL +18.8%

UTA -16.8%

ORL +7.7%

ORL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	18.7	15.8	15.7	92.8	107.1	100.5
season	17.2	15.7		99.4	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.2		108.2	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	26.6	16.7	17.1	16.2	18.7
ORL	15.8	16.0	15.0	16.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	20	22	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-19	25	17.9	18.9	-1.04	16.1	15.7	0.43
Jarron Collins	29	32	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.19	9	-22	31	16.4	19.9	-3.49	16.2	15.6	0.59
Raul Lopez	44	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-15	17	16.4	21.2	-4.80	16.3	15.3	1.00
Mo Williams	24	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-7	1	15.5	20.0	-4.48	15.8	15.8	0.01
Raja Bell	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	-7	1	16.4	21.3	-4.90	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Greg Ostertag	36	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	0	-13	21.7	16.4	5.36	16.3	15.4	0.85
Michael Ruffin	70	70	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	-1	-11	19.0	16.8	2.27	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Carlos Arroyo	39	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	21.2	16.4	4.80	15.3	16.3	-1.00
DeShawn Stevenson	39	40	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	2	-17	21.2	16.4	4.80	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Andrei Kirilenko	70	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	2	-17	19.1	16.7	2.36	16.0	15.1	0.86

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	76	76	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-4	21	16.0	13.9	2.15	18.9	16.1	2.78
Juwan Howard	62	62	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.02	21	-8	29	15.5	16.7	-1.17	19.4	16.6	2.83
Tyronn Lue	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-6	25	15.8	15.8	-0.04	20.1	16.3	3.88
Steven Hunter	52	50	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	6	1	16.5	14.7	1.78	19.6	17.3	2.25
Gordan Giricek	61	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	8	-3	16.0	15.5	0.47	18.4	19.5	-1.09
Keith Bogans	30	30	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	11	-9	15.2	16.2	-0.97	18.7	18.7	0.07
Zaza Pachulia	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	9	-5	14.8	16.4	-1.56	17.3	19.5	-2.24
Shammond Williams	3	4	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.05	4	9	-5	13.0	15.9	-2.93	15.2	18.9	-3.61
Rod Strickland	31	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	19	-25	15.8	15.8	-0.02	16.5	19.9	-3.33
Drew Gooden	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.14	-8	21	-29	16.7	15.5	1.17	16.6	19.4	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 91, MIA 104	0.5,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NJN 94, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
SEA 69, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%