inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 91 Excitement4.5 [878] MVPTim Hardaway (MIA): +16.9%
Miami Heat 104 Comeback1.5 [738] LVPVoshon Lenard (MIA): -8.9%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Mills0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.01-0.001075%0.122-0.0600%0.00
Michael Curry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00467%0.0300.004100%0.01
Joe Dumars0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.00-0.011050%0.031-0.02250%0.01
Jerome Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Litterial Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0300%0.0000.0020%0.00
Aaron McKie-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Theo Ratliff-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00564%0.022-0.04475%0.00
Don Reid-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.02-0.03633%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Otis Thorpe-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.05-0.02-0.03745%-0.011-0.03650%-0.00
Lindsey Hunter-0.070,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.020.011642%-0.041-0.041100%0.00
Grant Hill-0.080,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.01-0.051842%0.004-0.09475%-0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Hardaway0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.170.040.041777%0.222-0.056100%0.03
Keith Askins0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.00-0.01573%0.061-0.021100%0.01
Ike Austin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.01-0.08862%0.065-0.0300%0.00
Sasha Danilovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.011352%0.051-0.0210%-0.00
P.J. Brown0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00-0.001050%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mark Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Martin Muursepp0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0000.0020%0.00
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01233%-0.0100.002100%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.001462%0.033-0.081947%-0.08
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.00-0.0150%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.23.326.517.829.32.735.0138.9
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.1135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +28.8%
MIA +9.9%
MIA +13.1%
MIA +0.6%
DET -2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETMIANBADETMIANBA
this game16.914.715.698.9115.6104.4
season17.115.8107.6103.1
opponent16.316.298.3102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.017.720.813.816.9
MIA15.214.314.215.014.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Theo Ratliff52530.08-0.580.66-0.2712-253716.018.0-1.9915.813.12.68
Jerome Williams770.00-0.500.50-0.217-20278.117.6-9.4814.914.70.16
Litterial Green770.00-0.500.50-0.217-20278.117.6-9.4814.914.70.16
Michael Curry2424-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-192514.117.9-3.7616.614.02.55
Aaron McKie3735-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-131318.515.82.6514.514.8-0.28
Terry Mills5250-0.25-0.250.01-0.07-6-7118.315.13.1413.915.7-1.82
Grant Hill6563-0.32-0.18-0.150.15-163-1916.817.3-0.5114.914.30.65
Otis Thorpe4848-0.35-0.15-0.190.18-185-2317.016.80.1215.613.71.91
Lindsey Hunter7471-0.43-0.07-0.360.07-174-2117.514.43.1214.615.3-0.70
Don Reid3129-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.09-141-1516.417.1-0.7312.615.7-3.08
Joe Dumars6363-0.670.17-0.830.10-2613-3918.214.14.0914.016.3-2.26

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Voshon Lenard70720.71-0.210.93-0.2834-215514.415.8-1.4617.813.74.09
Alonzo Mourning67670.67-0.170.84-0.2130-174714.615.0-0.4518.213.44.75
Tim Hardaway66690.61-0.110.71-0.1024-113514.714.9-0.2218.113.44.62
P.J. Brown72740.360.140.220.04112914.615.0-0.3617.614.23.40
Keith Askins42420.230.27-0.050.0276114.015.3-1.2418.215.82.37
Sasha Danilovic57580.090.41-0.310.18-316-1915.413.51.8915.918.7-2.81
Mark Strickland770.000.50-0.500.21-720-2714.914.70.168.117.6-9.48
Martin Muursepp560.000.50-0.500.21-720-2717.014.62.428.317.5-9.17
Ike Austin3436-0.050.55-0.600.19-821-2915.114.50.5614.818.2-3.40
John Crotty3029-0.120.62-0.750.35-1629-4514.814.60.1813.918.3-4.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.62,0.78,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.93,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 77, ORL 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,195.8%
NYK 114, ORL 1220.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,195.3%
NJN 94, PHX 1180.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%