NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	74		Excitement	3.9 [1051]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +11.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	100		Comeback	1.4 [819]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -19.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	82%	0.08	2	-0.00	5	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	71%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.05	4	40%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.06	3	37%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
DJ White	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	11	47%	0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.08	0.00	10	23%	-0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	19	70%	0.20	5	-0.09	12	100%	0.06
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.00	13	57%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.03	6	93%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	8	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.00	2	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	11	38%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	29.0	14.8	30.1	2.5	27.2	131.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +15.8%

CHA +13.2%

CHA +17.9%

BOS -0.1%

CHA +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	18.6	15.4	87.1	119.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.6		101.2	99.9
opponent	15.4	16.2		109.8	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	18.9	15.2	13.6	15.5
CHA	18.2	18.0	18.3	19.7	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.04	-1	-25	24	14.2	15.9	-1.63	17.7	18.8	-1.11
Shavlik Randolph	30	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.18	-7	-19	12	15.1	15.7	-0.63	20.1	17.8	2.29
DJ White	28	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.19	-8	-18	10	14.5	16.0	-1.55	19.9	18.0	1.96
Terrence Williams	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.26	-11	-15	4	11.9	17.1	-5.16	18.9	18.5	0.42
Jason Terry	41	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-16	6	16.2	14.8	1.43	19.0	18.2	0.87
Jordan Crawford	48	49	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.31	-21	-5	-16	14.9	16.3	-1.40	18.5	18.7	-0.25
Brandon Bass	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-18	10	16.9	14.0	2.86	17.6	19.6	-1.95
Courtney Lee	49	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.28	-21	-5	-16	16.1	14.7	1.31	19.3	17.6	1.64
Kevin Garnett	35	36	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-10	-6	16.9	14.5	2.35	18.2	18.9	-0.70
Avery Bradley	51	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-16	6	16.1	14.7	1.38	17.9	19.5	-1.63
Jeff Green	55	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.01	-17	-9	-8	15.4	15.8	-0.40	18.1	19.6	-1.51

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	56	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	4	18	18.4	18.9	-0.45	15.2	16.1	-0.95
Gerald Henderson	67	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	9	8	17.5	22.8	-5.23	15.1	17.3	-2.23
Kemba Walker	62	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	10	6	17.5	21.8	-4.30	14.9	17.4	-2.54
Ben Gordon	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.27	20	6	14	18.9	18.4	0.48	16.0	15.1	0.85
Bismack Biyombo	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	18	-10	17.8	19.2	-1.35	16.6	14.6	2.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	55	55	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.13	12	14	-2	19.5	16.9	2.54	16.2	14.2	1.97
Jeff Adrien	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	14	-2	18.8	18.5	0.33	13.0	16.5	-3.50
Reggie Williams	22	20	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.23	10	16	-6	21.8	17.5	4.30	17.4	14.9	2.54
Brendan Haywood	34	35	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.27	10	16	-6	19.3	18.1	1.17	15.2	15.7	-0.52
Jeff Taylor	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	20.0	18.4	1.57	12.1	15.9	-3.73
Byron Mullens	17	18	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	26	-26	19.0	18.5	0.51	18.0	14.8	3.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.66,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 84, NOH 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.6,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 94, MIA 118	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.66,0.63,0.75,0.85,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.89,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
DAL 79, SAS 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%