NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	106		Excitement	4.0 [994]		MVP	Elden Campbell (CHH): +15.2%
Golden State Warriors	89		Comeback	1.1 [628]		LVP	Larry Hughes (GSW): -12.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elden Campbell	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.04	-0.03	11	72%	0.15	1	-0.00	7	43%	-0.07
Matt Bullard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.00	0.02	5	110%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.04	17	66%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	21	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.04	4	78%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kirk Haston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	6	50%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.02	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	61%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	55%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	10	46%	-0.00	1	-0.01	8	62%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	11	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.04	11	39%	-0.05	5	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	25.4	15.6	28.2	2.4	27.7	122.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +49.1%

GSW -9.2%

GSW -2.4%

CHH +10.3%

CHH +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	GSW	NBA	CHH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.5	15.7	15.6	119.1	98.9	102.3
season	15.9	14.7		102.2	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	12.7	20.6	16.7	17.0	16.5
GSW	14.4	15.4	16.0	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Wesley	71	73	0.51	-0.01	0.51	-0.14	22	-5	27	16.2	17.5	-1.27	16.0	14.6	1.37
Elden Campbell	51	53	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.21	24	-7	31	15.8	17.3	-1.50	18.2	12.1	6.15
Baron Davis	74	77	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.11	20	-3	23	16.3	17.5	-1.26	15.9	14.8	1.09
P.J. Brown	45	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	5	7	15.1	17.9	-2.73	16.0	15.4	0.58
Lee Nailon	52	53	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.01	10	7	3	15.6	17.7	-2.13	15.1	16.5	-1.43
Stacey Augmon	35	35	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	10	-3	17.9	15.6	2.31	16.6	15.1	1.43
Matt Bullard	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	12	-7	17.0	16.2	0.73	15.8	15.7	0.10
Robert Traylor	14	13	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	17	-17	19.8	15.9	3.92	14.5	15.9	-1.36
Jerome Moiso	10	9	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	17	-17	16.4	16.5	-0.09	15.2	15.8	-0.53
Jamaal Magloire	38	37	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.21	-7	24	-31	17.3	15.8	1.50	12.1	18.2	-6.15
Kirk Haston	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	20	-23	18.4	16.3	2.11	14.5	15.8	-1.29
Bryce Drew	18	17	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	22	-27	17.5	16.2	1.27	14.6	16.0	-1.37

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-20	23	15.6	15.7	-0.13	18.9	15.7	3.17
Mookie Blaylock	28	28	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-16	15	16.1	15.5	0.54	18.3	15.7	2.63
Chris Mills	45	44	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-14	11	16.0	15.4	0.64	17.8	15.2	2.55
Troy Murphy	50	49	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-16	15	15.8	15.6	0.14	17.7	15.0	2.60
Bob Sura	63	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-12	7	14.4	18.8	-4.45	17.6	13.9	3.78
Jason Richardson	27	27	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-5	-7	18.8	14.4	4.45	13.9	17.6	-3.78
Danny Fortson	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	-5	-7	15.3	16.2	-0.95	15.4	17.8	-2.45
Erick Dampier	40	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.10	-16	-1	-15	15.6	15.8	-0.14	15.0	17.7	-2.60
Larry Hughes	62	61	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	-1	-15	15.5	16.1	-0.54	15.7	18.3	-2.63
Antawn Jamison	66	65	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.16	-22	5	-27	15.8	15.3	0.50	15.7	18.7	-3.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 119, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
NYK 116, TOR 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.29,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
POR 103, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%